Claim your one month free trial for access to our premium content.



By Bilal Hafeez 14-02-2020

7 Charts To Love On Valentine’s Day

(3 min read)
Resize text:


It’s easy to paint gloomy pictures of the world whether looking at market valuations, climate change or health scares. However, not all is lost, there are some things to appreciate. So I thought given it is Valentine’s Day, I’d find seven charts to love:

(1) Odds of US recession this Year are Low

When the US yield curve inverted last year, there was a panic amongst investors about an imminent US recession. And while recession odds did rise, they haven’t further increased since then (Chart 1). Most models have the odds at around 25%-30%, and if anything they seem to be edging lower. Moreover, they remain comfortably below the 50% threshold seen before the last few recessions.

To gain access to this Hive Exclusive sample, please become a free member

  • Gain access to Bilal’s Top Picks - a curated weekly list of the best content from the web segmented by 7 categories

  • Gain access to Podcast Playlists – five must listen podcasts of the week on key topics, summarised and evaluated for your convenience
Interested in our Hive Exclusives & Deep Dives?

START YOUR FREE
TRIAL TODAY

Members

Your personal data will be used to support your experience throughout this website, to manage access to your account, and for other purposes described in our privacy policy.