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  1. Equities and the MacroSphere: Messaging Is Make or Break

    John Tierney

    Summary This earnings season is a lot about messaging. Meta Platforms (META), Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT) all beat expectations and promised AI spending. However, META collapsed for saying it will be a while before realizing a return on its investment. There are signs industrial companies are finally running down inventories and will have to […]

  2. Equities and the MacroSphere: What Next After Tech Selloff?

    John Tierney

    Summary Last week’s selloff in the semiconductor sector most likely opens opportunities to establish positions in the AI hardware sector. Commodity chip producers will continue struggling. The Federal Reserve (Fed) may not be cutting rates for now – but we see zero likelihood it will raise rates. And if the economy slows, we expect rate […]

  3. Equities and the MacroSphere: Pause Time for Upward and Onward

    John Tierney

    Summary Equities are heading into Q2 with a nice tailwind. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is inclined to cut rates, and the economy and labour market are on solid footing. Analysts project earnings gains of 8.2% for the S&P 500 (SPX) and 14.8% for the NASDAQ 100 (NDX). Still, there are reasons to expect the equity […]

  1. Equities and the MacroSphere: Fed Shows Its Cards

    John Tierney

    Summary The good news is the Federal Reserve (Fed) has all but promised to deliver three rate cuts in 2024 even if inflation remains slow to drop. The bad news is this was already priced into the market. With the 2Y Treasury yield still trading above 4.5%, there is little visibility now on whether or […]

  2. Equities and the MacroSphere: Ides of March Brings More Uncertainty

    John Tierney

    Summary With the Ides of March over, investors are pondering the implications of last week’s hot inflation prints and another runup in Treasury yields. Our take is that equities stay in a narrow range until either inflation cools or the economy/employment slows, giving the Federal Reserve (Fed) cover to cut rates. Oracle Corp. caught a […]

  3. Momentum Models Scale Back USD/JPY Bullishness

    Bilal Hafeez, Ben Ford

    When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models moved sideways over the past week. A positive rates (+0.3% WoW) outing battled poor equity (-0.4% WoW) and FX (-0.1% WoW) performances. Equity momentum models remain the best-performing model over […]

Equities and the MacroSphere: AI Dreams Deferred, Again

John Tierney

Summary We continue to see tech company outlooks come up short, with hopes for an AI bonanza delayed to later this year. Investor disappointment helped fuel Friday’s equity selloff. In the retail sector, discount and off-price vendors report strong beats and good outlooks, while full price companies are struggling. Regardless of outlook, most retailers said […]

Momentum Models Turn Bearish JGBs Following BoJ Talk

Ben Ford

Summary Momentum models declined -0.3% over the past week. Poor rates (-1.0% WoW) and FX (-0.2% WoW) outweighed a positive equity (+0.7% WoW) outing. Equity momentum models remain the best-performing model over a three-month timeframe (+6.9%). Market Implications Momentum models are bearish EUR/USD and bullish GBP/USD – we have closed our long USD trades. They […]

  1. Bilal’s Macroscope: Equity Performance Split By ‘Rate Sensitive’ and ‘Rate Agnostic’

    Bilal Hafeez, Viresh Kanabar

    Summary Momentum, growth, and quality have all outperformed the market in the last six months due to exposure to companies with strong earnings growth and profitability. These factors have also exhibited the least sensitivity to changes in bond yields recently, as the market gives more importance to higher cash flows than the discount rate. Market […]

  2. Equities and the MacroSphere: How Strong Is Consumer Spending in 2024?

    John Tierney

    Summary In a disappointing week for companies pinning their hopes on AI, three major players cut their 2024 outlooks. It may be a while before AI becomes a widespread profitable business model. Most regional banks rallied modestly after the latest New York Community Bank (NYCB) revelations and writedowns, showing NYCB is on its own now. […]

  3. Markets to Watch: Watch Out For ‘More Good’ Jobs Data

    Bilal Hafeez, Viresh Kanabar

    Summary In the US, Powell’s congressional testimony (Wednesday) will likely stress the need for more good inflation data before the Fed can cut. Nonfarm payrolls and wages (Friday) are likely to surprise on the upside. In Europe, the ECB should keep rates steady on Thursday but revise forecasts. We still expect a June cut at […]

Equity View: Earnings Reports Portray Strong Consumer, Year for Rebuilding

John Tierney

Summary We review the key macro themes emerging from Q1 earnings season. No companies are talking about recession risks now. But their outlooks are also mostly consistent with sluggish 1.5-2.0% GDP growth. Consumers are spending on staples and discretionary services but are still not buying goods. AI hardware may be red hot, but the broader […]

Momentum Models Turn Bullish on EUR/USD and GBP/USD

Ben Ford

Summary Momentum models gained +0.3% over the past week. Equities fared best (+1.6% WoW), while rates (+0.0%) and FX (-0.1% WoW) underperformed. Equity momentum models remain the best-performing model over a three-month timeframe (+7.0%). Market Implications Momentum models are bullish EUR/USD – we are short – and bullish EUR/CHF – we are long. They are […]

  1. Equity View: Nvidia Is No Cisco

    John Tierney

    Summary A currently popular meme chart shows a startling match between Nvidia’s (NVDA) recent rise and that of Cisco Systems (CSCO) in 1999-2000. Cisco later collapsed over 80% when the dot-com bubble burst. NVDA is no CSCO. While CSCO was mostly selling to companies financed with VC cash without a business model, NVDA caters to […]

  2. Equities and the MacroSphere: Will PCE Break Equities Out of Recent Range?

    John Tierney

    Summary Markets get another indication of the outlook for rate cuts when the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report arrives on Thursday. Nvidia (NVDA) surprised on the upside yet again – clear evidence that the investing community still does not understand the AI phenomenon. Consumers remain strongly inclined to spend on experiences rather than stuff, but […]

  3. Momentum Model UST Bearishness Increases

    Ben Ford

    When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models moved sideways over the past week. Equities fared best (+0.3% WoW), then rates (+0.1%). FX (-0.2% WoW) underperformed. Equity momentum models remain the best-performing model over a three-month timeframe (+5.5%). […]

Equities and the MacroSphere: Nvidia Week Begins!

John Tierney

Summary We expect equities to settle into a trading range after last week’s hot CPI and PPI reports until investors develop new conviction about the timing of rate cuts. Both Adobe and Alphabet sold off last week on reports that OpenAI is now targeting Google Search and Adobe’s Creative Cloud. Clearly, the potential for AI-driven […]

Momentum Models Turn Heavily Bullish USD/JPY

Ben Ford

When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models added to last week’s gains, up +0.4% WoW. Equities fared best (+1.2% WoW), then rates (+0.3% WoW) and FX (+0.1% WoW). Equity momentum models are the only positively performing model […]

Investing in the Equity Market

  • At Macro Hive, we offer cutting-edge equity research to keep you ahead of the market.
  • Our equity insights primarily cover US stocks on a sectoral basis while our regular reports on earnings give details on individual companies.
  • We also offer insights into European equities.

The benefits of equity investment include capital gains and dividends. However, we also see investment in stocks as a core part of a diversified strategy alongside other asset classes such as bonds and commodities. A global equities strategy offers geographical diversification, too.

It is possible to invest in equities at an individual level, but we gear most of our research around exchange traded funds (ETFs) as these provide better, more diversified exposure to macro trends instead of company fundamentals.
For most investors, equities offer an attractive way to grow wealth over the long term. There are many types of equities. And like any asset, they can be volatile in the short term. As a risk asset, they tend to suffer during downturns or periods of bearish sentiment. Yet equity investment generally offers higher returns than bonds and cash savings in the long term.

Your portfolio allocation to equities will largely depend upon your risk appetite. If you have an aggressive risk profile, you could potentially allocate 70%. With a moderate risk profile, you could consider an allocation of 50%, while a conservative risk profile might lead you to allocate 20%.
To gain an overview of our equity market investment views, read our latest Prime Trade Ideas report.

Our Top Articles on Equities:

Is the S&P 500 a Good Investment?
How Long Will This Bear Market Last?
What Is a Put Option?
What Is a Stock Split?

FAQ:

What is the equity market?

The equity market is a meeting point where investors and other market participants can issue and trade shares of companies. It is also known as the stock market. The trading occurs via exchanges, such as the New York Stock Exchange, or over-the-counter markets.

→ What is equity investing?

Equity investing is money that people invest in a company by buying shares of the company on the equity market. Investing in equities allows investors to own a share of the company and profit either via a rise in the company’s value (capital gains) or the generation of dividends.

→ What are equities in the stock market?

Equities in the stock market are simply shares of a company that investors and other market participants buy or sell via exchanges. There is no difference in equities vs stocks.

→ What is the market value of equity?

The market value of equity is the total value of a company’s equities expressed in its denominated currency (I.e., dollars). It is also known as market capitalization, and it is calculated by multiplying the current price of a single stock by the total number of outstanding shares.

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