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    About Macro Hive

    Macro Hive is a leading independent provider of global macro research and strategy.

    Trusted by clients at 7 of the world's top 10 banks and all top 5 hedge funds, we combine best-in-class human and artificial intelligence to provide institutional investors with market-leading investment opportunities.

    Our experts leverage large language models, such as those that power chatbots like ChatGPT, to develop innovative, data-driven solutions to complex financial problems and to build state-of-the-art models in search of alpha signals across asset classes.

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    Hive on Media more videos

    NFP, a 50bp Fed Cut in September, and Recession Signs

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    US CPI and 2024 Fed Cuts

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    If the Fed Is Done, Do You Buy Bonds?

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    AI Insights read all

    1. Ep. 235: Christian Schwarz on AI Bubbles, Using AI in Trading and Synthetic Data

      Christian is Managing Director and Head of Data Science in the financial markets division at Standard Chartered. He focuses on credit and previously worked at Mizuho and Credit Suisse.

    2. Ep. 230: Shawn Edwards on How Bloomberg Is Using AI

      Shawn Edwards is Bloomberg’s Chief Technology Officer. Based in New York, he oversees the development of Bloomberg’s global technology strategy.

    3. Ep. 213: Bilal Hafeez on Fed Cuts, Dollar Strength and AI Hype

      Bilal is the CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive. Before that, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank.

    Latest Research read all

    1. G10 FX Weekly: USD/JPY Technicals and BoJ Messaging Make Downside Attractive

      Richard Jones

      Summary Last week’s Japanese election saw the current ruling coalition lose its majority, starting a rare period of political uncertainty in Japan. Following very choppy price action, USD/JPY initially moved higher this week on this uncertainty, but now trades back near pre-election levels. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept rates on hold today but reaffirmed […]

    2. Momentum Models Turn Very Bearish US Fixed Income, Very Bullish USD/JPY

      Richard Jones

      When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were down -0.5% over the past week, with equity models down -1.5% WoW, FX models down -0.1% WoW and rates models down -0.3% WoW. Momentum models are down in aggregate […]

    Hive Podcast more podcasts

    1. Ep. 240: Ebrahim Rahbari on US Election Trades, Fed Cycle and German Challenges

      Ebrahim Rahbari is an independent strategist and economist. Previously, he was Chief Currency Strategist and Global Head of Foreign Exchange Analysis at Citi.

    2. Ep. 239: Thomas Drechsel on Measuring Political Pressure on Fed, Predicting Fed, and Better Nowcasts

      Thomas Drechsel is Assistant Professor at the Economics Department of the University of Maryland. His research focuses on monetary policy, the role of commodities for emerging market economies, as well as real-time monitoring of economic activity.

    3. Ep. 238: Rory Johnston on Oil to $65, Middle East Risks and Trump Agenda

      Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto’s Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines. Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank. In this podcast we discuss:

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