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    About Macro Hive

    Macro Hive is a leading independent provider of global macro research and strategy.

    Trusted by clients at 7 of the world's top 10 banks and all top 5 hedge funds, we combine best-in-class human and artificial intelligence to provide institutional investors with market-leading investment opportunities.

    Our experts leverage large language models, such as those that power chatbots like ChatGPT, to develop innovative, data-driven solutions to complex financial problems and to build state-of-the-art models in search of alpha signals across asset classes.

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    Hive on Media more videos

    NFP, a 50bp Fed Cut in September, and Recession Signs

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    US CPI and 2024 Fed Cuts

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    If the Fed Is Done, Do You Buy Bonds?

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    AI Insights read all

    1. AI Reflections: 3 Things Everyone Is Missing About DeepSeek

      Everyone has a take on DeepSeek. In most cases, it simply re-affirms their prior views (US is weak and China is winning; US is strong, and China is cheating, etc.). But here are three things that most people are missing (well, two things really): 1). Lower Costs DeepSeek has delivered way lower inference costs for […]

    2. AI Reflections: 4 Thoughts on the DeepSeek Model

      Listen to an AI-generated audio summary of this article:   New Kid on the Block The AI world is abuzz with the Chinese DeepSeek LLM model that apparently costs much less to build than OpenAI’s ChatGPT, performs better than the OpenAI o1 model and is cheaper for users to run. That is at least what […]

    3. Ep. 248: Shawn Edwards on How Bloomberg Is Using AI (Replay)

      Shawn Edwards is Bloomberg’s Chief Technology Officer. Based in New York, he oversees the development of Bloomberg’s global technology strategy.

    Latest Research read all

    1. G10 FX Weekly: Settle in for Rangebound UST Trading

      Richard Jones

      Summary Roughly seven weeks into 2025, and the US treasury (UST) market has already established decent, tradable year-to-date (YTD) ranges. For 2-year, 10-year and 30-year UST yields, trade has been choppy but should now churn around within the YTD ranges into March. With tariffs set to start next month (or, for Canada and Mexico, additional […]

    2. Momentum Models Increase Bearish UST Exposures and Flip Long USD/JPY

      Richard Jones

      When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were up +0.4% over the past week, with equity models up +1.2% WoW, FX models up +0.1% WoW, and rates models up +0.3% WoW. Momentum models are up +0.8% in […]

    Hive Podcast more podcasts

    1. Ep. 255: Chris Johnson on Trump vs China

      Chris Johnson spent nearly two decades at the CIA focusing on China and Asia. Today, Chris is the President and CEO of China Strategies Group.

    2. Ep. 254: Jonny Matthews on US Economy and Why the Fed Will Not Cut in 2025

      Jonny Matthews is a senior portfolio manager at Fortem Capital and creator of SuperMacro, an institutional-level macroeconomic research platform. Before that, he spent 12 years as a partner at Brevan Howard, where he managed a $500 million investment portfolio.

    3. Ep. 253: Barry Eichengreen on Trump Trade Policy, Dollar Status and Debt Crises

      Barry Eichengreen, Professor of Economics and Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley, is a former senior policy adviser at the International Monetary Fund.

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