Hive Exclusivessee more…

  1. Do Investors Flock to Crypto When Currencies Crash?

    Bilal Hafeez and Dalvir Mandara

    Fiat currencies globally have been getting crushed against the US dollar, and GBP has not been spared. The UK chancellor’s mini budget sparked a selloff in GBP and UK bonds...

  2. Asset Allocation Update: The ‘Everything Breaks’ Portfolio

    Bilal Hafeez

    When markets go through regime changes, you need to throw out the conventional ways of investing. Take a common approach – business cycle investing.

  3. Earnings Outlook: Equities in Wait-and-See Mode

    John Tierney

    The selloff last week was less about UK turmoil but rather the growing weight of inflation and recession risks.

  1. Markets to Watch This Week: U-Turn Truss Kicks Off NFP-Headlined Week

    Bilal Hafeez and Ben Ford

    The aftermath of the ‘Fiscal Event’ stole the headlines last week. Initially, GBP/USD fell to levels last seen in the 1700s, while surging interest rates sparked discussion...

  2. Recession Probability Stays Near 80% on Soaring Yields

    Dalvir Mandara and Bilal Hafeez

    The probability of a recession within the next 12 months remains near 80%.

  3. When to Buy Bitcoin? The Best Time to Invest in BTC

    Bilal Hafeez and Dalvir Mandara

    We look at the latest bitcoin trends, including macro risks and on-chain/flow metrics, to reveal the best time to buy bitcoin and the risks of buying BTC.

Why the Fed Is Failing to Slow the US Economy

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

With the Fed jacking up interest rates to dampen demand and cool stubbornly high inflation, financial conditions have been tightening.

Crypto Index Tracker: DeFi Leads Crypto Recovery

Dalvir Mandara

Crypto markets have had some relief this week after last week’s series of central bank rate hikes. Bitcoin opened the week around $18,800 before rallying to weekly highs of around $20,300 on Tuesday.

  1. LDI: The UK Pension Problem and the Risks in Europe

    Eric Zijdenbos

    In this article, guest author Eric Zijdenbos explains the liability-driven investment (LDI) strategy behind the mess – and the risks ahead.

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: No Reason to Panic in Volatile Markets

    Ben Ford

    Our biases in Asia FX have registered strong returns. Now, we are making changes. We closed our bearish KRW position and turned bearish on SGD...

  3. Is the Pound Falling To Levels Seen in the 1700s?!

    Bilal Hafeez

    UK financial markets have been in turmoil since the UK Prime Minister Liz Truss’ mini-Budget. Interest rates have surged, and the pound has plunged.

Markets to Watch This Week: Will the BoE Intervene?

Bilal Hafeez and Henry Occleston

It was a busy week for central bank hikes, but it was the market moves on the back of the UK Chancellor’s ‘fiscal event’ that stole the show.

Earnings Outlook: Consumers in the Spotlight

John Tierney

After another 4.6% drop last week, the S&P 500 is trading at fair value. We look for it to trade in a range for now, and track earnings, likely lower.

  1. Recession Probability Hits 82% on Deepening 2s10s Inversion

    Dalvir Mandara and Bilal Hafeez

    The probability of a recession within the next 12 months hits 82% as central banks step up rate hikes.

  2. Crypto Index Tracker: Central Banks Step Up Rate Hikes – Ethereum Underperforms

    Dalvir Mandara

    Crypto markets have been hammered by the litany of central bank rate hikes delivered throughout the week. Bitcoin started the week around $19,500 before hitting lows...

  3. FOMC Review: Fed Wants To See the Whites of Disinflation’s Eyes

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    The Fed hiked 75bp, as expected. However, the Fed was more hawkish than I expected, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) showing an additional...

Stablecoin Watch: The Great Stagnation

Dalvir Mandara

Over four months have passed since the Terra fiasco saw one of the biggest (algorithmic) stablecoins, TerraUSD (UST), break its peg and collapse in a matter of days.

BoE Preview: Expect a 50bp Hike, But the Dovish Case Is Growing

Henry Occleston

We think the BoE will hike bank rate by 50bps to 2.25% on 22 September as it takes a ‘wait and see’ attitude to the effect of recent fiscal policy.

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