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  1. Prime Trade Ideas: GBP Has Likely Peaked for This Cycle

    Viresh Kanabar

    Our views on the major asset classes remain the same. We’re slightly more positive on the FTSE 100 given this environment of rising rates at the long end.

  2. Charts of the Week – Seasonals Support Equities, Mispriced BoE Cuts, and Gold Spikes

    Matthew Tibble

    US equities exhibit strong seasonal patterns. Q4 typically sees stocks rally, especially over October and November.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Asian FX to Bounce Back on Rebounding Economy

    Viresh Kanabar

    Our views on the major asset classes remain the same. We’re slightly more positive on the FTSE 100 given this environment of rising rates at the long end.

  1. Charts of the Week – No Haven USD Boost, Outlier NFP, Robust Gas Demand

    Matthew Tibble

    Summary Investors are in risk aversion mode due to the Israel-Hamas conflict, but the dollar may not benefit. September’s bumper NFP print is likely an outlier. CHF bearishness is building among real money and hedge funds. Despite suggestions otherwise, US and EU gasoline demand remains robust. Is Risk Aversion Good for the Dollar? It’s Complicated… […]

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: King Dollar to Reign Supreme in Q4

    Viresh Kanabar

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content. 

  3. Oil Prices Threaten to Wreak Havoc in Markets

    Vasileios Gkionakis

    Oil prices are soaring, with Brent crude up nearly 30% this quarter. The supply side is driving the rise, increasing the risk of significant deterioration in global activity and upside to inflation. 

Prime Trade Ideas: Bullish EUR/USD After Jackson Hole

Viresh Kanabar

This month we took a deeper look into private markets, where we have been bearish for most of this year.

Prime Trade Ideas: Fading BoE Hawkishness

Viresh Kanabar

This month we took a deeper look into private markets, where we have been bearish for most of this year.

  1. Hedge Fund Insights by PivotalPath: July Gains on Market Optimism

    Jon Caplis

    The PivotalPath Composite Index returned 1.1% in July as optimism around inflation, a soft landing and indication that the Fed was nearing the end of its interest rate hiking cycle propelled risk markets higher. The S&P 500 Index (S&P) and Nasdaq Index (Nasdaq) rose in July 3.2% and 4.1% respectively.

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: Could Higher Oil Prices Ruin ‘Transitory Disinflation’?

    Viresh Kanabar

    Bullish EUR/USD to 1.13 (2 August, Richard Jones). Bullish CAD as oil rebounds (27 July, Macro Hive, CME). Oil is well supported at $80 on Brent (2 August, Viresh Kanabar).

  3. Hedge Fund Insights by PivotalPath – Focus Turns to the Fed

    Jon Caplis

    The PivotalPath Composite Index returned 1.6% in June as the US debt ceiling was resolved early in the month and there was optimism around a soft landing and the end of the Fed hiking cycle.

Prime Trade Ideas: Positioning for a Weaker UK Macro Backdrop

Viresh Kanabar

We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

Oil Weekly: Eight Points on the Oil Market for H2 2023

Viresh Kanabar

We are neutral on crude as industrial demand is slowing. However, OPEC+ production cuts are beginning to tighten the physical market.

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Our Favoured Trades for H2 2023

    Viresh Kanabar

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

  2. Oil Weekly: Energy Prices Are Too Low to Encourage Investment

    Viresh Kanabar

    A Russian insurrection is unlikely to impact oil production because the site of most production, Siberia, is far from Moscow.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Have US and Germany Bonds Turned the Corner?

    Viresh Kanabar

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

Hedge Fund Insights by PivotalPath – Capturing the Rally?

Jon Caplis

The PivotalPath Composite Index returned 0.2% in May as the US debt ceiling came to a head, along with optimism of a soft landing.

Oil Weekly: What Is Driving the Rebound in Chinese Demand?

Viresh Kanabar

Chinese oil demand has been strong, and rebounds in gasoline and jet fuel consumption have been the key drivers. Forecasts for global oil demand growth continue to rise.

Investing in the Commodities Market

At Macro Hive, we offer cutting-edge insights into commodity investing to keep you ahead of the market. Our commodity investment analysis primarily covers energy, metals, and food. Specifically, we research oil, gold, natural gas, iron ore, copper, wheat and other foods, agricultural products and related indices such as the Baltic Dry Index.
The commodities market can be an important way to diversify your portfolio beyond traditional securities. However, commodities can be risky as supply and demand can fluctuate significantly according to uncertainties that are hard or impossible to predict (such as weather, disease, geopolitics, and natural disasters).
Though once largely limited to professional investors, commodity markets today are more accessible. There are many ways to invest in commodity markets including futures contracts and options. There are also a wide variety of commodity stocks, and you can access some of the best commodity stocks via exchange-traded funds. A commodity stock ETF offers exposure to macro commodity market trends while minimizing the risk associated with individual company fundamentals.

Our Top Articles on COMMODITIES:

What Is the Baltic Dry Index?
What are Oil ETFs?

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