
Prime Trade Ideas: Opportunity in the Chaos
Ben Ford
Preservation of capital is key; Bilal leaves his asset allocation unchanged: overweight cash, neutral commodities and crypto, and underweight equities and bonds.
Ben Ford
Preservation of capital is key; Bilal leaves his asset allocation unchanged: overweight cash, neutral commodities and crypto, and underweight equities and bonds.
Sam van de Schootbrugge
Winter is coming – for many EU cities, temperatures fall below 10 degrees Celsius in September. Household heating systems will start to kick in, which could burn through the EU’s surplus gas...
Ben Ford
Remaining overweight US homebuilders, but wary of headwinds. We still see value in the housing sector due to a supply-demand imbalance but outline risks from Fed tightening.
John Tierney
Commodities dropped sharply in recent weeks on recession concerns and profit-taking. Iron ore registered one of the largest two-week drops on record, falling 22.5% at one point.
Ben Ford
Neutral commodities. Bilal’s latest Asset Allocation sees market volatility and recession fears limiting near-term gains for commodities, switching from overweight to neutral.
John Tierney
After major supply shocks earlier this year, commodity prices are falling as markets adjust and become less unbalanced. But supplies remain tight in the energy and agricultural sectors.
Bilal Hafeez
Bert is a macro strategist at Macro Hive, specialising in Emerging Markets strategy. Between 2009 and 2017, he was co-head of EM strategy...
Virendra Chauhan
Global upstream Capex is increasing but remains a third below levels required to help rebalance acute oil market tightness.
Henry Occleston
The European Union (EU) is debating a ban (or embargo) on imports of Russian crude oil and petroleum.
John Tierney
Even though the S&P 500 energy sector is up 41% in 2022 (vs. -17% for the broader index), we recommend an overweight position.
Josh Young
Rising global demand for oil and a gradual green transition mean we may be in the early stages of the next oil and gas supercycle.
Bilal Hafeez
John is a commodity guru amongst other things. He has 25 years of experience in international finance. He has served as a Managing Director for bulge-bracket investment banks on both sides of the Atlantic in research, strategy, asset allocation, and product development roles.
Bilal Hafeez
Last week saw a renewed move higher in crude oil as American equities continued to breakdown through the start of 2022’s first earning season. Meanwhile, USD/JPY pushed through 128.0.
Bilal Hafeez
Last week saw weakness across both fixed income and equity markets as inflation fears persist, and central bank hawkishness is increasingly priced.
Bilal Hafeez
Josh Young is the Chief Investment Officer and Founder of Bison Interests – an investment firm that focuses on the publicly traded oil and gas sector.
John Tierney
Fertilizer prices rose 50% since the invasion of Ukraine because Russia is the leading exporter of fertilizer and related raw materials.
Bilal Hafeez
Short-end yields were the biggest vol-adjusted movers of the week. 2Y UST yield led the rise to briefly break 2.5%, its highest rate since early 2019...
Matthew Tibble
With inflation reaching eye-watering levels in Europe and the US, some look to gold as an inflation hedge...
Henry Occleston
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has outraged much of Europe, and the rest of the world. Aid to the Ukrainian administration...
At Macro Hive, we offer cutting-edge insights into commodity investing to keep you ahead of the market. Our commodity investment analysis primarily covers energy, metals, and food. Specifically, we research oil, gold, natural gas, iron ore, copper, wheat and other foods, agricultural products and related indices such as the Baltic Dry Index.
The commodities market can be an important way to diversify your portfolio beyond traditional securities. However, commodities can be risky as supply and demand can fluctuate significantly according to uncertainties that are hard or impossible to predict (such as weather, disease, geopolitics, and natural disasters).
Though once largely limited to professional investors, commodity markets today are more accessible. There are many ways to invest in commodity markets including futures contracts and options. There are also a wide variety of commodity stocks, and you can access some of the best commodity stocks via exchange-traded funds. A commodity stock ETF offers exposure to macro commodity market trends while minimizing the risk associated with individual company fundamentals.
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