Macro Hive
Key Events G10 In the US, the main data points are: Trump and Harris debate, Tuesday 9pm EST. The debate could bring more clarity on the candidates respective policies. The challenge for President Trump will be to move away from personal attacks on VP Harris and for VP Harris to shore up her credibility on […]
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were down 0.1% over the past week, with equity models down 0.8% WoW, FX models down 0.1% WoW and rates models up 0.3% WoW. Momentum models are down in aggregate […]
Macro Hive
Key Events G10 In the US, the main data points are: NFP – Friday. If the print shows no marked improvement on July and is below consensus for UE falling to 4.2%, the Fed will likely frontload rate cuts, starting with 50bp in September. JOLTS – Wednesday. The U/V ratio is more important than headline. […]
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were up 0.4% over the past week, with equity models up 0.8% WoW, FX models up 0.5% WoW and rates models down 0.1% WoW. Momentum models are all down over […]
Bilal Hafeez
J. Doyne Farmer is Director of the Complexity Economics Programme and Professor of Complex Systems Science at the University of Oxford. He is also External Professor at the Santa Fe Institute and Chief Scientist at Macrocosm.
Bilal Hafeez
Shawn Edwards is Bloomberg’s Chief Technology Officer. Based in New York, he oversees the development of Bloomberg’s global technology strategy.
Macro Hive
Key Events G10 In the US, there is… Democratic National Convention – Monday to Thursday. Harris is due to speak on Thursday, following Walz on Wednesday. This will follow her speech in North Carolina on Friday, where she put forward some of her economic agenda. History suggests her odds likely increase follow the convention, but […]
Bilal Hafeez
Brad Setser is the Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. His expertise includes global trade and capital flows, financial vulnerability analysis, and sovereign debt restructuring.
Macro Hive
Key Events G10 In the US, the main data is: CPI – Wednesday. Consensus is 0.2% MoM for core. The Fed will look for continued OER disinflation and, based on CPI and Tuesday’s PPI, an estimate of core PCE near 20bp. Retail sales – Wednesday. Following June’s 0.4%, consensus expects a slowdown to 0.1% ex […]
Bilal Hafeez
Liang is a markets professional, with 20 years’ experience as a portfolio manager, quantitative analyst, currency strategist, and China economist. He has spent most of his career based in Germany, where he earned his PhD and worked at several asset managers including DWS.
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were down 0.5% over the past week, with equity models down 2.8% WoW, FX models flat WoW and rates models up 0.2% WoW. All momentum models are down over a […]
Bilal Hafeez
Álvaro Cartea is Professor of Mathematical Finance in the Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, and director of the Oxford-Man Institute of Quantitative Finance.
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
Summary The high costs of a large balance sheet means the Fed seeks the lowest reserves still consistent with low FFR responsiveness to short-term changes in demand or supply. The Fed has slowed QT even though reserves have not decreased yet due to its limited control over reserves and due to demand uncertainty. On current […]
Bilal Hafeez
Gary Gerstle is the Paul Mellon Professor of American History Emeritus and Paul Mellon Director of Research at the University of Cambridge. He is the author and editor of more than ten books, including two prize-winners, American Crucible: Race and Nation in the Twentieth Century (2017) and Liberty and Coercion: The Paradox of American Government from the Founding to the Present (2015).
Macro Hive
Key Events G10 In the US, there is only one key data event: NFP – Friday. The consensus is for 175k, which would add to Fed confidence that the economy is doing well and remove concern about the employment mandate. In the Eurozone and UK, the main events will be: UK Chancellor’s statement – Monday. […]
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were down 0.5% over the past week, with equity models down 2.1% WoW, FX models down 0.1% WoW, and rates models up 0.1% WoW. All momentum models are down over […]
Bilal Hafeez
Dr. Pippa Malmgren is an economist who makes sense of the world economy by writing books, founding tech businesses, advising policymakers around the world and through public speaking and teaching.
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were down 0.4% over the past week, with equity models down 0.8% WoW, FX models down 0.4% WoW, and rates models flat. Momentum models are down in aggregate over a […]
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were up 0.1% over the past week, with equity models up 1.2% WoW, rates down 0.1% WoW, and FX down 0.3% WoW. Momentum models are down in aggregate over a […]
Macro Hive is the community platform for the thinking investor…
Already have an account?…
Spring sale - Prime Membership only £3 for 3 months! Get trade ideas and macro insights now
Your subscription has been successfully canceled.
Discount Applied - Your subscription has now updated with Coupon and from next payment Discount will be applied.