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Markets Are Late Cycle, Says Macro Hive's Hafeez

Bilal Hafeez, Macro Hive chief executive officer and editor, discusses his markets outlook on 'Bloomberg Markets: European Close.' (Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg
US capital controls among 2020 ‘grey swan’ events, strategist says

The U.S. introducing capital controls in the wake of its trade war with China is among the top 10 “grey swan” events for 2020, according to Bilal Hafeez, the CEO of financial strategy firm Macro Hive.

CNBC
‘Growth positive’ measures resonate for investors

Bilal Hafeez, a former currencies analyst at Deutsche Bank and Nomura, who now runs analysis hub Macro Hive says: “So far, most of the measures taken by Chinese authorities have been growth-negative (quarantines, travel restrictions), so the PBoC’s actions are perhaps the first that could be construed as growth-positive.”

Financial Times
This is not a recession, but just a long government-dictated public holiday

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says it's the worst recession since the Great Depression. No, the worst in 300 years, says the Bank of England. And now this week, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) officially called the US recession as starting in February – an unusual move because they tend to define recessions periods after the event not at the beginning. Yet while the collapse in economic activity is clear, does it really feel like a recession?

Markets Insider


We aim to deliver the best macro ideas. We strive to give a different angle and we like to challenge. We want to make our members stand out from the crowd. We do this by harnessing the experience of a network of leading thinkers led by Bilal Hafeez. We also embrace advances in machine learning to support the work, but we never lose site of the power of the human brain. Importantly, we look outside of our own work too. We scour the world for the best analysis whether academic work, blogs, or podcasts. We curate the best. Crucially, we present everything in an accessible form where you can get the key insights with minimum time. Now, it’s time for you to join The Hive.

We challenge the traditional research business model, the way you consume research and the way you think about investing

FIND OUT MORE
Jun 2019

The Birth of The Hive

Bilal Hafeez, CEO of Macro Hive and Head of Research, begins the journey of forming The Hive with a plan to disrupt the macro research industry and allow for users to consume high-quality analysis in a distinctive way.

June 2019

ANDREW SIMON JOINS AS COO

Andrew has spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy side and sell side. Andrew co-founded Eschaton Opportunities Fund, a $100 mn+ hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier, he led JP Morgan’s institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets for Europe.

Jul 2019

Business Insider Picks Up Our Story

An analyst who just ditched his investment-bank job is already winning big research clients on his own – and it’s a sign the financial world is getting flipped on its head.

Oct 2019

Our First Official Corporate Client

Macro Hive manages to successfully attract their first client to produce bespoke and tailored research in the Corporate space.

BILAL HAFEEZ

CEO AND HEAD OF RESEARCH AT MACRO HIVE

Prior to this, he was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his over twenty-year career at J.P. Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School. He studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge. email: bilal@macrohive.com

Top FX Trade Idea
Track Record

SilverRidge (2016, 2017, 2018)

#1 FX Research

Institutional Investor (2013)

#1 FX Research

Euromoney (2004-2010)

BILAL HAFEEZ

CEO AND HEAD OF RESEARCH AT MACRO HIVE

Prior to this, he was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his over twenty-year career at J.P. Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School. He studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge. email: bilal@macrohive.com

Top FX Trade Idea
Track Record

SilverRidge (2016, 2017, 2018)

#1 FX Research

Institutional Investor (2013)

#1 FX Research

Euromoney (2004-2010)

ANDREW SIMON

COO AT MACRO HIVE

Andrew has spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy side and sell side. He co-founded Eschaton Opportunities Fund, a $100 mn+ hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier, Andrew led J.P Morgan’s institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets for Europe. Before J.P Morgan, he ran Lehman’s global derivative sales business and at Deutsche Bank, he managed the European currency option trading and derivative research business. email: andrew.simon@macrohive.com

ANDREW SIMON

COO AT MACRO HIVE

Andrew has spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy side and sell side. He co-founded Eschaton Opportunities Fund, a $100 mn+ hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier, Andrew led J.P Morgan’s institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets for Europe. Before J.P Morgan, he ran Lehman’s global derivative sales business and at Deutsche Bank, he managed the European currency option trading and derivative research business. email: andrew.simon@macrohive.com

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