Rates / FXsee more…

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Time to Turn Bullish on China?

    Ben Ford

    John unwound his retail, US infrastructure and European equity index positions. He is now up 2% against the S&P 500.

  2. Week Ahead: Fed Gov Bullard Almost Ready to Join us at 8%!

    Macro Hive

    In our latest Week Ahead video, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss last week’s noise from the Fed...

  3. Who Cuts First – The Fed, BoC or RBNZ?

    Ben Ford

    Historic precedent suggests markets are right to expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to eventually cut interest rates. But, where and how they have priced them looks wrong.

  1. Week Ahead: Is it Time to Fade the Rally?

    Macro Hive

    In our latest Week Ahead video, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss last week’s market reaction to inflation data...

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: Portfolio Steady Despite Turbulence

    Ben Ford

    John unwound his short semiconductor trade for an oversized profit. He is now considering when to turn long (vs S&P 500).

  3. Week Ahead: US CPI Next Up – What Should We Expect?

    Macro Hive

    In our latest Week Ahead video update, Dominique Dwor-Frecaut shares a few thoughts on how we are getting closer and closer to her call on 8% US terminal rates...

Ep. 137: Igor Yelnik on How to Trade Macro Differently

Bilal Hafeez

Igor founded Alphidence Capital in 2020 and holds the positions of CEO and CIO. The fund is unusual in that it focuses on systematic macro investing.

Week Ahead: Why the Fed will Continue Their Message of More 75bp Hikes to Come

Macro Hive

In our latest Week Ahead video update, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss the market’s reaction from the data published in the past week...

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: How to Beat the S&P 500

    Ben Ford

    John launched a new framework for his US equity ETF biases. The methodology revealed that he is beating the S&P 500. You can follow him here.

  2. Peak UK Optimism

    Bilal Hafeez

    Everyone, including investors, can project their most positive outcomes onto the new UK administration. But reality will hit soon, and hard.

  3. Week Ahead: Watch Out for Housing Data

    Macro Hive

    In our latest Week Ahead video, Andrew and Dominique discuss the key data from last week and the market’s rather unpredictable market reaction...

Prime Trade Ideas: Profiting from Hawkish Central Banks

Ben Ford

Bilal’s asset allocation remains unchanged: overweight cash, neutral cash and commodities, and underweight equities and bonds.

Beating Popular FX Trading Strategies With Bond Flows

Sam van de Schootbrugge

A new BIS working paper explores the extent to which international bond flows predict exchange rate returns on EM currencies.

  1. Week Ahead: Upcoming CPI – Watch Our For More Fireworks

    Macro Hive

    In our latest Week Ahead update, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut share their thoughts on last week’s data...

  2. Week Ahead: Is a Too Strong US Labour Market Pushing Us to Armageddon?

    Macro Hive

    Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut return to give us our latest Week Ahead update. We have given the video podcast a refreshed look, so do make sure to tune in this week...

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: No Reason to Panic in Volatile Markets

    Ben Ford

    Our biases in Asia FX have registered strong returns. Now, we are making changes. We closed our bearish KRW position and turned bearish on SGD...

Week Ahead: Update on Whether US Interest Rates Could Reach 8%

Macro Hive

In our latest Week Ahead video update, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss the extent to which central banks are disrupting the real economy...

Week Ahead: Next Markets to Fracture, and the Upcoming Fed Meeting

Macro Hive

In our latest Week Ahead video, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut recap the key events from last week...

Investing in the Foreign Exchange Market

At Macro Hive, we offer a wide range of FX rates analysis and research into foreign exchange markets. We provide detailed FX analysis on DM and EM on a weekly basis, while our Emerging Markets team produces daily insights into the latest currency exchange rates and FX trends for China, India, Brazil and other EM countries. Our FX rates analysis also covers carry trades.
The trading of currencies on the FX market (or forex market) occurs 24 hours a day, five days a week across major financial centers worldwide. Our research is therefore global in perspective, and we cover the latest FX news alongside analysis of historical exchange rates in response to macro trends. At Macro Hive, we base our FX rates insights on a longer-term outlook, seeking to hold positions for weeks rather than intraday swings.
As with all investments, trading in currencies entails risk, especially during periods of high market volatility or geopolitical tension. We recommend investors interested in FX investments tailor their exposure according to their risk appetite. It is also possible to hedge to mitigate exposure to risk by using correlated currency pairs.

Insights into Interest Rates

As a corollary to our FX research, Macro Hive also specialises in interest rate insights. We offer previews and reviews of central bank meetings and analysis of central bank communications, and our research extends to the broad macroeconomic implications of easing and tightening cycles. We use this to inform not just our FX analysis, but also our outlook on bonds, equities, and other asset classes.

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