Macro Hive
Welcome to the Week Ahead! In this episode, Andrew and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss the downfall of Silicon Valley Bank and how the markets were left shaken and stirred. Has the fed finally broken the markets and what can the Fed do now to support regional banks? Why are big banks under attack and whats up with lending going forward? As well as Andrew's trade idea of the week.
Macro Hive
Macro Hive hosted a specialist Family Office webinar on 16 March, 2023 to discuss What will 8% Interest Rates do to Private Equity, Real Estate, and Public Markets?
Macro Hive
Bilal joined the Bloomberg European close show to discuss the global inflation picture and what happens if the ECB raise rates to 4%. He also shared Macro Hive's outook on the markets and some of his top trade ideas.
Bilal Hafeez and Ben Ford
Momentum models (-2.2% WoW) felt the full brunt of the SVB fallout, performing worst in equities (-4.0%), then rates (-3.3%) and FX (-0.7%).
Richard Jones
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has rocked rates markets globally, with extreme pressure on Credit Suisse (CS) weighing on bank stocks in Europe.
Bilal Hafeez
In 2022, we outlined our ‘everything breaks’ portfolio, which meant constantly overweighting cash above all else.
Jon Caplis
The PivotalPath Composite Index returned 0.1% in February amid declining equity markets. The S&P 500 declined 2.4% and the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 fell -1.1% and -1.8%, respectively. The whipsaw and volatility continues from 2022 as the S&P 500 and most other major markets were negative after rallying in January.
Samarjit Shankar
Contagion risks from the US banking crisis appear manageable. Following the initial reaction, opportunities should arise for investors in select US financial stocks.
Macro Hive
Welcome to the Week Ahead! In this episode, Andrew and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss the Silicon Valley Bank bankruptcy, its economic implications, what is wrong with current Fed policy, and much more!
Richard Jones
Geopolitics remains a constant risk to markets. As the ultimate FX haven, the Swiss Franc (CHF) is always attractive during heightened geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Bilal Hafeez and Ben Ford
Momentum models add to last week’s fortunes (+0.5% WoW), performing best in FX (+0.9%) and equities (+0.7%).
Macro Hive
Welcome to the Week Ahead! In this episode, Andrew is back and with Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss they Fed minutes from the past week, whats up with the curve inversion? Fed speakers vs macro data and data prints to watch this coming week.
Ben Ford
Bilal’s asset allocation will be updated in March. For now, the themes remain: Investors expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to end its hiking cycle soon.
Bilal Hafeez and Ben Ford
Momentum models add to last week’s fortunes (+0.3% WoW), performing best in rates (+0.8%). A similarly sized return was seen over the past three months, on average (+0.3%).
Richard Jones
The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) have tightened policy materially in the past year. As a result, bond yields across the German and US interest rate curves have risen considerably, providing opportunities for investors.
Macro Hive
Welcome to the Week Ahead! In this episode, Andrew is back and with Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss they Fed minutes from the past week, whats up with the curve inversion? Fed speakers vs macro data and data prints to watch this coming week.
Bilal Hafeez and Ben Ford
Momentum models add to last week’s fortunes, performing best in rates (+0.8% WoW) and rates (-0.9% WoW).
Richard Jones
Countervailing narratives for the EUR/USD currency pair in the past year have led to whippy price action and sharp moves.
Macro Hive
Welcome to the Week Ahead! In this episode, Henry Occleston and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss the CPI details, Bullard and Mester’s comments on rate hike, Lael Brainard’s departure, expectations for PCI, and much more.
At Macro Hive, we offer a wide range of FX rates analysis and research into foreign exchange markets. We provide detailed FX analysis on DM and EM on a weekly basis, while our Emerging Markets team produces daily insights into the latest currency exchange rates and FX trends for China, India, Brazil and other EM countries. Our FX rates analysis also covers carry trades.
The trading of currencies on the FX market (or forex market) occurs 24 hours a day, five days a week across major financial centers worldwide. Our research is therefore global in perspective, and we cover the latest FX news alongside analysis of historical exchange rates in response to macro trends. At Macro Hive, we base our FX rates insights on a longer-term outlook, seeking to hold positions for weeks rather than intraday swings.
As with all investments, trading in currencies entails risk, especially during periods of high market volatility or geopolitical tension. We recommend investors interested in FX investments tailor their exposure according to their risk appetite. It is also possible to hedge to mitigate exposure to risk by using correlated currency pairs.
As a corollary to our FX research, Macro Hive also specialises in interest rate insights. We offer previews and reviews of central bank meetings and analysis of central bank communications, and our research extends to the broad macroeconomic implications of easing and tightening cycles. We use this to inform not just our FX analysis, but also our outlook on bonds, equities, and other asset classes.
Macro Hive is the community platform for the thinking investor…
Already have an account?…
Weekly market analysis, crypto commentary, and a copy of our Asset Allocation report direct to your inbox!