Subscribe

featured

23 March 2022 Asset Allocation | Bitcoin & Crypto | China | Commodities | Economics & Growth | Emerging Markets | Rates | US

Bloomberg TV Interview: How to Adjust Your Investment Portfolio for a Recession

Bilal Hafeez

By Bilal Hafeez

Enjoyed featuring on Bloomberg TV yesterday (28 March 2022) to share my thoughts on what the markets are signalling, how long equities can ignore an inverted yield curve for, and on whether it’s realistic for the ECB to hike four times within the next year.

I also discuss the strong possibility of a recession, how to adjust your portfolio in such an environment, and whether we see continued strength in crypto.

If you have any questions, please feel free to reach out on our Slack chat room. If you’re not yet a Macro Hive member, then find out how a Prime membership can help you better invest through these troubling macro times. It’s only £1 for 2 months through our limited-time offer.

Here are the timestamps for the interview:

0:00 – What are the markets signalling?
1:28 – How long can stocks ignore an inverted yield curve?
2:19 – What are equity markets signalling right now?
3:35 – Money markets betting on four 25bp hikes by the ECB – is this realistic?
4:32 – What do you invest in if there’s a recession coming?
5:25 – Is it too late to get into commodities?
5:46 – Do we see continued strength in crypto?
6:30 – Utility and use-cases of crypto
7:25 – Thoughts on Chinese markets
8:25 – Investment opportunities in other emerging markets

Bilal Hafeez is the CEO and Editor of Macro Hive. He spent over twenty years doing research at big banks – JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, and Nomura, where he had various “Global Head” roles and did FX, rates and cross-markets research.

(The commentary contained in the above article does not constitute an offer or a solicitation, or a recommendation to implement or liquidate an investment or to carry out any other transaction. It should not be used as a basis for any investment decision or other decision. Any investment decision should be based on appropriate professional advice specific to your needs.)

Your comments

Brian Morais says:

2nd May 2022 at 8:33 pm

Insightful interview

Log in to Reply

Cancel reply

Please sign-up for a Macro Hive account then log in to leave your comments.

Related articles

array(17) { [0]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "hive-model" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131299) } [1]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "weekly-investment" ["cpt_image"]=> int(132823) } [2]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(14) "views-analysis" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [3]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(13) "bilals-points" ["cpt_image"]=> int(135792) } [4]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "bilals-macroscope" ["cpt_image"]=> int(127923) } [5]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(19) "global-rates-weekly" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [6]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(65996) } [7]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134235) } [8]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(20) "centralbank-monitors" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136307) } [9]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134128) } [10]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(15) "emerging-trends" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66000) } [11]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "key-events" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66001) } [12]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(16) "asset-allocation" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131366) } [13]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [14]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(18) "charts-of-the-week" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134094) } [15]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(11) "commodities" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [16]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(12) "global-rates" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } }

Hive Videos

Bloomberg TV Interview: Bilal Hafeez on the Markets Regime Change, Safe Havens, Tariffs and Fed Policy in 2025

09 April 2025

Macro Hive
array(17) { [0]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "hive-model" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131299) } [1]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "weekly-investment" ["cpt_image"]=> int(132823) } [2]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(14) "views-analysis" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [3]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(13) "bilals-points" ["cpt_image"]=> int(135792) } [4]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "bilals-macroscope" ["cpt_image"]=> int(127923) } [5]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(19) "global-rates-weekly" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [6]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(65996) } [7]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134235) } [8]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(20) "centralbank-monitors" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136307) } [9]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134128) } [10]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(15) "emerging-trends" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66000) } [11]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "key-events" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66001) } [12]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(16) "asset-allocation" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131366) } [13]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [14]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(18) "charts-of-the-week" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134094) } [15]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(11) "commodities" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [16]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(12) "global-rates" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } }

Hive Videos

MH Launches AI Fed Sentiment Analysis to Predict US Rates!

21 October 2024

Macro Hive
array(17) { [0]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "hive-model" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131299) } [1]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "weekly-investment" ["cpt_image"]=> int(132823) } [2]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(14) "views-analysis" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [3]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(13) "bilals-points" ["cpt_image"]=> int(135792) } [4]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "bilals-macroscope" ["cpt_image"]=> int(127923) } [5]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(19) "global-rates-weekly" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [6]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(65996) } [7]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134235) } [8]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(20) "centralbank-monitors" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136307) } [9]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134128) } [10]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(15) "emerging-trends" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66000) } [11]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "key-events" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66001) } [12]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(16) "asset-allocation" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131366) } [13]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [14]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(18) "charts-of-the-week" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134094) } [15]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(11) "commodities" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [16]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(12) "global-rates" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } }

Hive Videos

Bloomberg TV Interview: Bilal Hafeez on Germany’s Lagging Economy, the Trump Trade, and Tech Overhype

15 October 2024

Macro Hive
array(17) { [0]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "hive-model" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131299) } [1]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "weekly-investment" ["cpt_image"]=> int(132823) } [2]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(14) "views-analysis" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [3]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(13) "bilals-points" ["cpt_image"]=> int(135792) } [4]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "bilals-macroscope" ["cpt_image"]=> int(127923) } [5]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(19) "global-rates-weekly" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [6]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(65996) } [7]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134235) } [8]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(20) "centralbank-monitors" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136307) } [9]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134128) } [10]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(15) "emerging-trends" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66000) } [11]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "key-events" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66001) } [12]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(16) "asset-allocation" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131366) } [13]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [14]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(18) "charts-of-the-week" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134094) } [15]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(11) "commodities" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [16]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(12) "global-rates" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } }

Hive Videos

Bloomberg TV Interview: ECB More Hawkish

04 September 2023

Macro Hive

Spring sale - Prime Membership only £3 for 3 months! Get trade ideas and macro insights now