Bitcoin & Cryptosee more…

  1. Crypto Index Tracker: Crypto Markets Unfazed by Genesis Bankruptcy

    Dalvir Mandara

    Big news: Genesis Trading, one of the biggest cryptocurrency lenders, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, making it the latest victim of the FTX fallout.

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: Our Favourite Trades to Start 2023

    Ben Ford

    We are over halfway through January and our trades continue to hold up.

  3. On-Chain Metrics Turn Bullish Ethereum

    Dalvir Mandara and Bilal Hafeez

    Markets are pricing in a 25bp rate hike at the 1 February FOMC meeting, but Dominique expects a 50bp hike as she believes Q4 GDP (to be released on 26 January) will be well above the Federal Reserve (Fed) estimate.

  1. Crypto Index Tracker: Metaverse Leads the Charge

    Dalvir Mandara

    Yesterday, data from the labour department revealed U.S. CPI rose 6.5% YoY in December, in line with expectations.

  2. Stablecoin Watch: BUSD Demand Plummets

    Dalvir Mandara

    Pax Dollar (USDP, +14% MoM), TrueUSD (TUSD, +12% MoM), and Magic Internet Money (MIM, +11% MoM) registered the largest gains in market cap over the past month.

  3. Crypto Index Tracker: Smart Contract Platforms Outperform in Early 2023

    Dalvir Mandara

    Yesterday, the US economy was in the spotlight as initial jobless claims dropped from 223k to 204k, according to data from the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS)...

Will the Dollar Crush New Year Crypto Hopes?

Dalvir Mandara

Trading View (next 2-4 weeks): We like to be slightly bearish bitcoin. Investment View (next 1-3 years): We like to be long bitcoin.

When to Buy Bitcoin? The Best Time to Invest in BTC

Bilal Hafeez and Dalvir Mandara

We look at the latest bitcoin trends, including macro risks and on-chain/flow metrics, to reveal the best time to buy bitcoin and the risks of buying BTC.

  1. What Academia Taught Us in 2022, Part II

    Sam van de Schootbrugge

    We’ve covered 46 academic papers in 2022, all published by leading institutions or journals. Here, we revisit some of the key graphs.

  2. What Academia Taught Us in 2022, Part I

    Sam van de Schootbrugge

    We’ve covered 46 academic papers in 2022, all published by leading institutions or journals. Here, we revisit some of the main punchlines.

  3. Crypto Index Tracker: All Sectors Are Down

    Dalvir Mandara

    It has been a challenging year for cryptocurrencies. Terra (LUNA) collapsed, and a crypto credit crunch ensued that saw some of the biggest lenders in the space fall.

Crypto Index Tracker: Crypto Sectors Take a Dive as Fed Keeps Hawks Flying

Dalvir Mandara

Crypto markets rallied as November inflation (7.1% YoY) printed lower than expected (7.3% YoY).

Does Turn-of-the-Month Stock Trading Work for Crypto?

Dalvir Mandara

Seasonality in a time series can add new layers of complexity to financial data. Do trading volumes spike at specific times of the day?

  1. SBF: The CEO of FTX Has Been Arrested! Why Not Earlier Or Later?

    Mitchell Epner

    DOJ let Sam Bankman-Fried talk himself into prison for a while, but prosecutors likely wanted to avoid the embarrassing optics of him testifying remotely before Congress from his Bahamian villa.

  2. Did Ethereum Beat the S&P 500 in 2022?

    Dalvir Mandara

    The Federal Reserve (Fed) is almost certain to hike 50bps at the December FOMC meeting on Wednesday.

  3. Crypto Index Tracker: Metaverse Leads Gains

    Dalvir Mandara

    Crypto markets have trended up this week after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s much-awaited pre-FOMC speech.

Macro Hive’s 2023 Grey Swans: The Complete List

Bilal Hafeez

Our Grey Swans are back! Here are 10 of our favourite picks for those high-impact, low-probability events that could shape 2023. 

Prime Trade Ideas: How to Position for 2023

Ben Ford

Bilal continued to advocate the 'everything breaks' portfolio. He now has 2023 in sight: timing will prove critical as a likely Fed pivot, China reopening and better European energy outlook feed through into markets.

Investing in Bitcoin & Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin and the crypto revolution are no longer nascent. With the length of the blockchain continuing to grow and decentralised finance (DeFi) gaining ground over traditional finance, this new asset class is reshaping the investment landscape.

To invest in cryptocurrency, we must first understand it. Crypto tokens are unlike any traditional asset class. And they are all different. Just because you understand bitcoin, does not mean you know how ethereum works.

Each currency has different underlying protocols and technology. That impacts how they trade, their volatility, and how you can value them. Some are more like stocks, others commodities, and others currencies. And each crypto token has a unique structure of supply.

We think crypto markets are a worthwhile long-term investment. The technology can capture market share on some existing markets like payments and stock trading while creating new markets like valuable scarce digital assets.

Your exposure to bitcoin needs to be appropriately sized so that you can survive 50% to 80% drawdowns. Drawdowns provide good entry levels for exposure, but we would not go max long in an environment of rising central bank rates and falling global growth momentum.

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