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  1. Key Events: Will the Fed Keep Its Easing Bias?

    Macro Hive

    Key Events G10 In the US, the key data is: CPI – Wednesday. Consensus is 0.3% MoM for core, unchanged from April. To gain confidence disinflation will restart soon, the Fed needs a lower trend in OER and supercore inflation, with lower median price and trimmed mean inflation (better indicators of trend than core). I […]

  2. The Week Ahead: Sam and Dom Called It Right on NFP!

    Macro Hive

    Welcome to The Week Ahead! In this episode, Andrew and Dominique discuss the latest NFP, impact of undocumented migrants, Bilal and Dom's New York trip to meet clients, and more!

  3. Key Events: NFP to Show Labour Market Remains Tight

    Macro Hive

    Key Events G10 In the US, the main data releases are: NFP – Friday. Consensus expects 185k and unemployment at 3.9% – i.e., a tight labour market still. I agree. Trade balance – Thursday. A downside surprise to the consensus estimate of ‑$69.7bn would indicate a buildup of domestic demand pressures. JOLTS – Tuesday. We […]

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