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By Bilal Hafeez Stefan Posea 11-06-2020
In: hive-indicators | COVID-19

Global COVID-19 Tracker – DM Remains Low, EM Increasingly Polarized

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In the DM world, apart from Sweden which recorded 2% increases in both cases and deaths, no country saw any big surges.

In the EM world, Pakistan, South Africa, and Argentina are in today’s pole position with 5% case increases. Pakistan recently saw nearly 100 MPs infected by COVID, while South Africa still remains the most affected country in Africa. Indonesia, Egypt, Mexico, Brazil, and Chile all saw a 4% increase in daily cases. On deaths, Chile leads with an 8% increase. It recently extended its total quarantine. Mexico, Colombia, Nigeria, and Saudi Arabia all recorded a 5% increase...
  • In the DM world, apart from Sweden which recorded 2% increases in both cases and deaths, no country saw any big surges.
  • In the EM world, Pakistan, South Africa, and Argentina are in today’s pole position with 5% case increases. Pakistan recently saw nearly 100 MPs infected by COVID, while South Africa still remains the most affected country in Africa. Indonesia, Egypt, Mexico, Brazil, and Chile all saw a 4% increase in daily cases. On deaths, Chile leads with an 8% increase. It recently extended its total quarantine. Mexico, Colombia, Nigeria, and Saudi Arabia all recorded a 5% increase.
  • Looking at which countries are at peak waves, we find the following:
    • In DM, almost all countries find themselves in the declining wave quadrant. The exceptions are Greece, Sweden, and Portugal.
    • In EM, the situation is much more polarized. Latam countries plus Indonesia, Pakistan, Egypt, Nigeria, and South Africa are still in peak wave with high cases and deaths. On the other hand, in Taiwan, Hong Kong, China, Hungary and Thailand the virus remains at low levels.

 

 

 

 

Americas Cases

 

 

Asia Cases

 

 

EMEA Cases

 

 

DM COVID Percentile

 

EM COVID Percentile

 

 

DM COVID Stages

 

 

 

 

DM Key COVID Stats

 

 

 

 

 

Bilal Hafeez is the CEO and Editor of Macro Hive. He spent over twenty years doing research at big banks – JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, and Nomura, where he had various “Global Head” roles and did FX, rates and cross-markets research.

 

Stefan Posea is a Research Analyst at Macro Hive. His research interests lie in macro-financial interactions and monetary policy analysis. Stefan graduated with an MSc in Economics at Birkbeck, University of London and previously held roles in M&A and the Public Sector.

(The commentary contained in the above article does not constitute an offer or a solicitation, or a recommendation to implement or liquidate an investment or to carry out any other transaction. It should not be used as a basis for any investment decision or other decision. Any investment decision should be based on appropriate professional advice specific to your needs.)