Stefan Posea

Macro Hive Author

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Stefan Posea is a Research Analyst at Macro Hive. His research interests lie in macro-financial interactions and monetary policy analysis. Stefan graduated with an MSc in Economics at Birkbeck, University of London and previously held roles in M&A and the Public Sector.

MY ARTICLES


  • In: Deep Dives | Economics Fiscal Policy & Inequality

    Demographics Driving Wealth Accumulation

    June 10, 2020

    Demographics are a key driver of long-term macro trends. The link between changing demographics and wealth has significant implications for asset…

  • NIRP

    In: Deep Dives | Monetary Policy & Inflation

    The Pros And Cons Of Negative Interest Rates Policy (NIRP)

    June 03, 2020

    As central banks go deeper into unconventional policies, there is increasing speculation that more of them will engage in negative interest rates…

  • Business Disruption

    In: Deep Dives | COVID-19 Equities

    Business Disruptions From Social Distancing

    April 15, 2020

    COVID-related social distancing measures have impacted most businesses but not equally. A recent CEPR paper attempts to model business sectors…

  • Stock market risk

    In: Deep Dives | COVID-19 Equities

    How Unanticipated COVID Cases Impact Stock Returns

    April 08, 2020

    One of the most interesting academic papers on pandemics is a new NBER paper on COVID (and SARS) case predictions and stock market returns…

  • Central Banks

    In: Deep Dives | Monetary Policy & Inflation Rates

    How Central Banks Can Talk Up Interest Rates And Term Premium

    February 12, 2020

    In the last two decades, central banks have significantly increased communication towards the public in the form of speeches, reports, press…

  • Covered Money

    In: Deep Dives | Equities Investment Strategy

    Why Are Some Bonds Safe Assets And Others Not?

    January 22, 2020

    Safe assets have been all the rage since the financial crisis. They’re in high demand as collateral in repo transactions, for use to meet…

  • Oil 2020

    In: Hive Exclusives | Commodities & Energy Investment Strategy

    Reinforcing Our Bullish Oil Call With Driving And Mobility Data

    July 01, 2020

    Re-opening of economies and less use of public transport should see energy demand pick up. OPEC supply cuts and global producers shutting down…

  • NIRP

    In: Deep Dives | Monetary Policy & Inflation

    The Pros And Cons Of Negative Interest Rates Policy (NIRP)

    June 03, 2020

    As central banks go deeper into unconventional policies, there is increasing speculation that more of them will engage in negative interest rates…

  • Business Disruption

    In: Deep Dives | COVID-19 Equities

    Business Disruptions From Social Distancing

    April 15, 2020

    COVID-related social distancing measures have impacted most businesses but not equally. A recent CEPR paper attempts to model business sectors…

  • Stock market risk

    In: Deep Dives | COVID-19 Equities

    How Unanticipated COVID Cases Impact Stock Returns

    April 08, 2020

    One of the most interesting academic papers on pandemics is a new NBER paper on COVID (and SARS) case predictions and stock market returns…

  • Bernie Sanders

    In: Hive Exclusives | Geopolitics Monetary Policy & Inflation US

    Could Bernie Sanders Upset Markets?

    January 30, 2020

    The US presidential election season will start proper next Monday when the first nominating vote for the Democrat candidate will take place…

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