By Caroline Grady 23-10-2020
In: hive-exclusives | Geopolitics US

US Election – 11 Days To Go

(2 min read)
Resize text:


The final Trump-Biden debate is now over. It was a more civilized affair than the first, helped by a format change that meant microphones were partially muted to avoid interruptions. However, there were no developments likely to materially alter recent polling. Joe Biden remains around 10 points ahead on national polls (52 vs 41), leaving a big gap for Donald Trump to make up in the final 11 days.

But Biden’s lead is narrower in battleground states such as Pennsylvania (5 points) and Florida (2 points). And national polls could yet narrow from here. While any new revelations from either side seem unlikely at this stage, last minute disruptions cannot entirely be ruled out. Moreover, COVID will continue to have an impact. The US daily case count is rising again, with the seven-day average count moving steadily higher during the past month and yesterday’s roughly 63,400 new cases close to recent highs. The focus on COVID at the start of Thursday’s debate hindered Trump’s case for re-election.

TO READ THIS HIVE EXCLUSIVE
SUBSCRIBE TO MACRO HIVE PRIME

£39/month thereafter

For access to our Slack Chat Room, where we discuss all things markets with our researchers and subscribers

START YOUR FREE TRIAL

MOST READ

What Determines How Wealthy You Become?

By Sam van de Schootbrugge | Oct 23, 2020
The final Trump-Biden debate is now over.…

Higher Food and Energy Prices Spell Danger Ahead

By John Butler | Oct 23, 2020
The final Trump-Biden debate is now over.…

Where Can you Get Higher Bond Yields?

By Caroline Grady | Oct 23, 2020
The final Trump-Biden debate is now over.…


PREMIUM CONTENT

Inflation! What Inflation? (1 min read)

By Bilal Hafeez | Jan 11, 2021
Summary China has increased fiscal deficits, credit,…

Three Reasons for Optimism on Global Growth (2 min read)

By Caroline Grady | Jan 08, 2021
Summary Fresh COVID restrictions leave downside risks…

Which Jobs Will AI Take Over? (5 min read)

By Sam van de Schootbrugge | Jan 06, 2021
Summary A new NBER working paper reveals…

Want To Join Our Community Of Leading Investors And Researchers In Our Slack Chat Room?