In the DM world, we see another day without changes in cases. On deaths, numbers are on the low side as well. Canada and Japan recorded a 3% increase, the latter starting to reopen most areas apart from Tokyo and Osaka.
The EM world (especially Latam) sees much bigger numbers in both categories. On cases, we have Chile in today’s pole position, which is not a surprise given the recent Santiago quarantine order. Brazil comes next with 7%, while Mexico and South Africa both recorded 6%. On deaths, South Africa leads today with a 9% increase, casting doubts on President Ramaphosa’s restrictions easing announcement. Argentina comes next at 7%, while Pakistan, Mexico and Brazil recorded 6%. The latter country is considered Latam’s hardest hit economy, suffering also from the ongoing political clashes between the pro economy reopening Bolsonaro and more socially distance oriented Joao Doria, governor of Brazil’s financial centre Sao Paulo.
Next, as usual we’re looking at peak waves in two ways. First one in terms of levels of daily cases/deaths (using percentiles of latest individual cases/deaths to avoid issues around cross country comparisons) and the other in terms of changes in daily cases/deaths (potential signals of new waves, but also noisier).
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