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  1. Ep. 181: Phil Suttle on US Recession Risks, AI Impact, and BoJ to 1% 

    Bilal Hafeez

    Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US.

  2. Ep. 180: Dominque Dwor-Frecaut on What Everyone Gets Wrong on Inflation, Recessions and Fed Policy

    Bilal Hafeez

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is a Senior Macro Strategist for Macro Hive based in Los Angeles. She has been producing alpha-generating trade ideas in FX and rates in EM and G10 at established and startup macro hedge funds in the US since 2011, including at Bridgewater.

  3. Ep. 179: Mustafa Chowdhury on Fed Policy, US Industrial Policy and Housing Risks

    Bilal Hafeez

    Mustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank.

  1. Ep. 178: Professor Adrian Williams on Everything You Wanted to Know About Sleep [Replay]

    Bilal Hafeez

    Dr. Adrian Williams is the UK's first Professor of Sleep Medicine. Adrian graduated from University College, London, UK, and after...

  2. The Summer Research Surge

    Sam van de Schootbrugge

    The summer months are upon us. This means fewer office distractions and fewer short-term deadlines, creating the ideal opportunity for researchers to get stuck into meatier projects. In academia, this summer lull brings in a surge of publications in the months that follow (Chart 1).

  3. Modern Portfolio Theory Is Still Relevant Today

    Sam van de Schootbrugge

    A Review of Financial Studies paper examines the pitfalls of mean-variance portfolio optimisation. It confirms a well-known result - historical sample moments are suboptimal proxies for true means and variances, and that optimisation methods estimating these past values have poor forecasting performance.

Ep. 170: Sean McGould On Creating an Investing Edge, Hedge Funds and Inflation Opportunities

Bilal Hafeez

Sean McGould – the founder/CEO of the Lighthouse Group – a $15bn investment management firm. Prior to Lighthouse, Sean was the Director of the Outside Trader Investment Program for Trout Trading Management Company.

Ep. 169: Bob Elliott on Bridgewater’s Success, US Inflation and Fed’s Error 

Bilal Hafeez

Bob Elliott is the Co-Founder of Unlimited, which uses machine learning to create index replication ETFs of alternative investments, like hedge funds. Prior to founding Unlimited, Bob was a Senior Investment Executive at Bridgewater Associate...

  1. When Are Momentum Models Profitable?

    Sam van de Schootbrugge

    A new paper in the highly rated Review of Financial Studies journal explains how momentum profits are strongly linked to the performance of winners and losers during the formation period.

  2. Ep. 168: Martin Wolf on Why Capitalism and Democracy Need Each Other  

    Bilal Hafeez

    Martin Wolf is chief economics commentator at the Financial Times, London. He was awarded the CBE (Commander of the British Empire) in 2000 ‘for services to financial journalism.’ His latest book is ‘The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism’.

  3. Finding the Best Finfluencers: Do Not Follow the Crowd

    Sam van de Schootbrugge

    A popular Swiss Financial Institute research paper, co-authored by UC Berkeley researchers, reveals the importance of following the right Twitter accounts.

Ep. 167: Alberto Gallo on Investor Complacency, Crisis Risks and Fed’s Dilemma  

Bilal Hafeez

Alberto Gallo is Chief Investment Officer and Co-founder at Andromeda Capital Management. Prior to that, Alberto initiated and ran the Global Credit Opportunities fund at Algebris Investments.

Using Twitter to Predict Markets and Monetary Policy

Sam van de Schootbrugge

A new FEDS working paper uses Twitter chatter to build a measure of credit and financial market sentiment. The authors use Keyword Clustering alongside FinBERT to assign sentiment scores to tweets. They then average over tweets to create sentiment indices at different frequencies.

  1. Ep. 166: Deepak Gurnani on Building Winning Investment Strategies 

    Bilal Hafeez

    Deepak Gurnani is the Founder and Managing Partner of Versor Investments - $2bn quantitative investment firm. Deepak is the former CIO of Investcorp’s Hedge Fund Group and was one of the founding members in 1996.

  2. How to Invest in Oil and Are Oil Stocks a Good to Buy Now?

    Macro Hive

    As of July 2023, we believe oil stocks are an attractive investment (via the energy ETF XLE). As we wrote back in April, “energy companies continue to emphasize returning cash to investors over ramping up exploration and production. Returns will come via higher dividends and share buybacks.” 

  3. Part II: NLP in Economics – Solving Common Problems

    Sam van de Schootbrugge

    A new CEPR working paper, co-authored by UCL Professor Stephen Hansen provides an overview of the methods used for algorithmic text analysis in economics.

Ep. 165: Jim Rogers on the Demise of the Dollar, Inflation and China

Bilal Hafeez

Jim Rogers co-founded the Quantum Fund, a global-investment partnership. During the next 10 years, the portfolio gained 4200%, while the S&P rose less than 50%. Rogers then decided to retire – at age 37.

Part I: NLP in Economics – Touching Base With the Basics

Sam van de Schootbrugge

A new CEPR working paper, co-authored by UCL Professor Stephen Hansen provides an overview of the methods used for algorithmic text analysis in economics.

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