24 April 2025 Economics & Growth | Monetary Policy & Inflation | Rates | UK

UK 25/26 Deficit Could Be £10bn Higher Than OBR Projects

By Henry Occleston

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Global Rates

Trade Update: Closing SOFR Jun26 at Entry

23 April 2025

Antonio Del Favero
array(17) { [0]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "hive-model" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131299) } [1]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "weekly-investment" ["cpt_image"]=> int(132823) } [2]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(14) "views-analysis" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [3]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(13) "bilals-points" ["cpt_image"]=> int(135792) } [4]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "bilals-macroscope" ["cpt_image"]=> int(127923) } [5]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(19) "global-rates-weekly" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [6]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(65996) } [7]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134235) } [8]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(20) "centralbank-monitors" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136307) } [9]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134128) } [10]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(15) "emerging-trends" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66000) } [11]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "key-events" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66001) } [12]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(16) "asset-allocation" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131366) } [13]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [14]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(18) "charts-of-the-week" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134094) } [15]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(11) "commodities" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [16]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(12) "global-rates" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } }

Global Rates

Trade Update: Closing Long UST 30y at 4.86%. Remain Long SOFR Jun26

21 April 2025

Antonio Del Favero
array(17) { [0]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "hive-model" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131299) } [1]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "weekly-investment" ["cpt_image"]=> int(132823) } [2]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(14) "views-analysis" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [3]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(13) "bilals-points" ["cpt_image"]=> int(135792) } [4]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "bilals-macroscope" ["cpt_image"]=> int(127923) } [5]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(19) "global-rates-weekly" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [6]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(65996) } [7]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134235) } [8]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(20) "centralbank-monitors" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136307) } [9]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134128) } [10]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(15) "emerging-trends" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66000) } [11]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "key-events" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66001) } [12]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(16) "asset-allocation" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131366) } [13]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [14]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(18) "charts-of-the-week" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134094) } [15]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(11) "commodities" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [16]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(12) "global-rates" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } }

Global Rates

Trade Update: Increasing Long UST 30Y to Full Position

18 April 2025

Antonio Del Favero
array(17) { [0]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "hive-model" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131299) } [1]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "weekly-investment" ["cpt_image"]=> int(132823) } [2]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(14) "views-analysis" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [3]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(13) "bilals-points" ["cpt_image"]=> int(135792) } [4]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(17) "bilals-macroscope" ["cpt_image"]=> int(127923) } [5]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(19) "global-rates-weekly" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } [6]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(65996) } [7]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134235) } [8]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(20) "centralbank-monitors" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136307) } [9]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134128) } [10]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(15) "emerging-trends" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66000) } [11]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(10) "key-events" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66001) } [12]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(16) "asset-allocation" ["cpt_image"]=> int(131366) } [13]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(4) "post" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [14]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(18) "charts-of-the-week" ["cpt_image"]=> int(134094) } [15]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(11) "commodities" ["cpt_image"]=> int(66003) } [16]=> array(2) { ["select_cpt"]=> string(12) "global-rates" ["cpt_image"]=> int(136150) } }

Global Rates

Global Rates Weekly: Trade War to Keep Driving Central Bank Cutting

17 April 2025

Henry Occleston

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UK 25/26 Deficit Could Be £10bn Higher Than OBR Projects

Subscribe to Macro Hive Professional to read this article

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Like these insights? Join our free newsletter for regular updates and trade ideas.

UK 25/26 Deficit Could Be £10bn Higher Than OBR Projects

Subscribe to Macro Hive Professional to read this article

Like these insights? Join our free newsletter for regular updates and trade ideas.

Like these insights? Join our free newsletter for regular updates and trade ideas.

Cancellation Confirmed

Discount Applied