73% of Americans have an unfavourable view towards China, which is a sharp increase from earlier years (see Chart). Part of this is due to faulting China in its handling of COVID-19. It also helps explain, President Trump’s recent hard-line against China. It’s worth noting that the majority of US voters from either party bellieve the US should promote human rights in China even if it harms economic relations between the US and China. On TikTok specifically, Americans are split on banning it (one-third support, one-third oppose), however older people are more likely to support a ban.
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73% of Americans have an unfavourable view towards China, which is a sharp increase from earlier years (see Chart). Part of this is due to faulting China in its handling of COVID-19. It also helps explain, President Trump’s recent hard-line against China. It’s worth noting that the majority of US voters from either party bellieve the US should promote human rights in China even if it harms economic relations between the US and China. On TikTok specifically, Americans are split on banning it (one-third support, one-third oppose), however older people are more likely to support a ban.
All of this has helped President Trump, prediction markets have now caught up with improving polls to show higher odds for a Trump win, though prediction markets still have Biden winning the election (Chart 2). In the battleground states, Biden’s support has shown a notable drop in Florida, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Currently only Wisconsin and Michigan show a Biden lead above the margin or error (Chart 3).
There have been some goods studies on US elections published recently. One from Wellesley College finds that 8 media companies dominate the top stories of news aggregators – they are The Hill, CNN, Fox News, Politico, Washington Posr, Washington Examiner, NY Post and NY Times. Another highlights the importance of YouTube in Russian propaganda efforts during the 2016 Election.
Bilal Hafeez is the CEO and Editor of Macro Hive. He spent over twenty years doing research at big banks – JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, and Nomura, where he had various “Global Head” roles and did FX, rates and cross-markets research.
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