Yesterday marked 100 days until the 3 November US presidential election. The landmark prompted a raft of analysis on how Trump’s campaign is faring versus earlier campaigns at this stage. Unsurprisingly, the prognosis for Trump is not good. His approval ratings remain stuck in the lows 40s, and two recent polls show Biden ahead in Florida. That’s significant – as CNN points out, ‘no Republican has won the presidency without Florida since Calvin Coolidge in 1924’. The CNN/SSRS poll released on Sunday showed Biden leading in Florida by 51-46%, while a Quinnipiac poll from 23 July showed a larger 51-38% lead for Biden. Polls for Michigan and Arizona also show Biden ahead. And on a national level, polls indicate a 9-point lead for Biden, a gap not seen by any candidate since President Clinton’s re-election campaign in 1996.
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