
Bitcoin & Crypto | Equities | US
Bitcoin & Crypto | Equities | US
It is now widely known that Softbank had engaged in significant buying of US tech stocks through options. But it was already an open secret amongst investors for weeks before it hit the financial press. The irony for Softbank is that its share price barely rose as US tech stocks soared over August, but now Softbank shares have fallen sharply with the tech declines (Chart 1).
This article is only available to Macro Hive subscribers. Sign-up to receive world-class macro analysis with a daily curated newsletter, podcast, original content from award-winning researchers, cross market strategy, equity insights, trade ideas, crypto flow frameworks, academic paper summaries, explanation and analysis of market-moving events, community investor chat room, and more.
It is now widely known that Softbank had engaged in significant buying of US tech stocks through options. But it was already an open secret amongst investors for weeks before it hit the financial press. The irony for Softbank is that its share price barely rose as US tech stocks soared over August, but now Softbank shares have fallen sharply with the tech declines (Chart 1).
The more intriguing issue is whether bitcoin price action was the better signal for the US tech correction rather than the knowledge that Softbank may have been buying tech stocks. Indeed, shorting tech stocks to fight against the Softbank buying over August would have lost you more money than the gains from last week’s declines. However, bitcoin started to fall precipitously a few days before the tech collapse (Chart 2). That combined with Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting which drove US yields higher may have provided the best signal for the tech declines.
This could suggest that watching bitcoin price action could be important to assess when the tech declines are over. In some ways, bitcoin may represent sentiment towards the ‘new tech economy’. In that way, looking at bitcoin may not be so far-fetched as an input for trading tech stocks.
Spring sale - Prime Membership only £3 for 3 months! Get trade ideas and macro insights now
Your subscription has been successfully canceled.
Discount Applied - Your subscription has now updated with Coupon and from next payment Discount will be applied.