Install the Macro Hive app
Sign-up for a Slack account then enter our Slack chat room.
Economics & Growth
Macro Hive
Key Events G10 In the US, there is only one key data event: NFP – Friday. The consensus is for 175k, which would add to Fed confidence that the economy is doing well and remove concern about the employment mandate. In the Eurozone and UK, the main events will be: UK Chancellor’s statement – Monday. […]
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were down 0.5% over the past week, with equity models down 2.1% WoW, FX models down 0.1% WoW, and rates models up 0.1% WoW. All momentum models are down over […]
Richard Jones
Summary Since the Japanese Ministry of Finance (MoF) bought JPY on 11 July, USD/JPY has declined ~5.75%, its biggest two-week drop since late last year. USD/JPY is now trading at its lowest level since early May (~152.50). Much event risk exists for USD/JPY in the next week. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) updates monetary policy […]
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Macro Hive Conversations with Bilal Hafeez
Macro Hive Conversations with Bilal Hafeez
We continue to advocate our ‘everything breaks’ portfolio. The core rationale is that we are entering a new regime of higher interest rates – something investors have not faced for a decade.
When markets go through regime changes, you need to throw out the conventional ways of investing. Take a common approach – business cycle investing.
Rarely can we point to one factor driving the performance of all markets. But since the global financial crisis in 2008, that factor is low interest rates.
Economics & Growth
Macro Hive
Key Events G10 In the US, there is only one key data event: NFP – Friday. The consensus is for 175k, which would add to Fed confidence that the economy is doing well and remove concern about the employment mandate. In the Eurozone and UK, the main events will be: UK Chancellor’s statement – Monday. […]
Julius Probst, PhD
Summary JPY has plummeted over the last two years despite Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention. But fears of a Japanese currency and debt crisis are overblown: the BoJ owns about half the outstanding JGBs, while foreigners own only a fraction of Japanese debt. Japan has also one of the largest global net asset positions; a […]
Richard Jones
Summary Since the Japanese Ministry of Finance (MoF) bought JPY on 11 July, USD/JPY has declined ~5.75%, its biggest two-week drop since late last year. USD/JPY is now trading at its lowest level since early May (~152.50). Much event risk exists for USD/JPY in the next week. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) updates monetary policy […]
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were down 0.5% over the past week, with equity models down 2.1% WoW, FX models down 0.1% WoW, and rates models up 0.1% WoW. All momentum models are down over […]
Gary Gerstle is the Paul Mellon Professor of American History Emeritus and Paul Mellon Director of Research at the University of Cambridge. He is the author and editor of more than ten books, including two prize-winners, American Crucible: Race and Nation in the Twentieth Century (2017) and Liberty and Coercion: The Paradox of American Government from the Founding to the Present (2015).
Dr. Pippa Malmgren is an economist who makes sense of the world economy by writing books, founding tech businesses, advising policymakers around the world and through public speaking and teaching.
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak is Boston Consulting Group (BCG)’s Global Chief Economist and a managing director and partner in the firm's New York office. Paul Swartz is Senior Economist and executive director at BCG.
Before starting Macro Hive, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge.
Andrew spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy and sell side. He co-founded Eschaton Opportunities, a $100 million hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier in his career, Andrew led JP Morgan's institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets in Europe, ran Lehman's global derivative sales business, and managed Deutsche Bank's European currency option trading and derivative research business.
Spring sale - Prime Membership only £3 for 3 months! Get trade ideas and macro insights now
Your subscription has been successfully canceled.
Discount Applied - Your subscription has now updated with Coupon and from next payment Discount will be applied.