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Portfolio Updatessee more…

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Fading BoE Hawkishness

    Viresh Kanabar

    This month we took a deeper look into private markets, where we have been bearish for most of this year.

  2. Asset Allocation: Private Markets See Less Activity, More Scrutiny

    Bilal Hafeez, Viresh Kanabar

    Private market activity has fallen in H1, with total vehicles closed down over 50%. Investment trusts exposed to the private market are currently trading at wide discounts to their NAV as low liquidity and fears over asset valuations hurt investor sentiment.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Could Higher Oil Prices Ruin ‘Transitory Disinflation’?

    Viresh Kanabar

    Bullish EUR/USD to 1.13 (2 August, Richard Jones). Bullish CAD as oil rebounds (27 July, Macro Hive, CME). Oil is well supported at $80 on Brent (2 August, Viresh Kanabar).

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Positioning for a Weaker UK Macro Backdrop

    Viresh Kanabar

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

  2. Asset Allocation: Fading the ‘Fed Model’

    Bilal Hafeez, Viresh Kanabar

    We reduce our max overweight position in cash as the forward outlook requires a less defensive posture.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Our Favoured Trades for H2 2023

    Viresh Kanabar

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

Prime Trade Ideas: Have US and Germany Bonds Turned the Corner?

Viresh Kanabar

We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

Asset Allocation: Stock-Bond Correlation Flips as Growth, Inflation Diverge

Bilal Hafeez, Viresh Kanabar

Strategies like the 60/40 portfolio gained in popularity due to the negative correlation between stocks and bonds. However, this is a more recent phenomena as the correlation was positive before the 2000s.

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: High Yield Looks Highly Attractive

    Viresh Kanabar

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

  2. Asset Allocation: Quality Stocks for a Quality Portfolio

    Bilal Hafeez, Viresh Kanabar

    We stay overweight cash and TIPS while maintaining our underweight allocation to equities, long-duration bonds, property, and private equity.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: CHF, JPY Key to Profiting From an Ugly Debt Ceiling Negotiation

    Viresh Kanabar

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

New Look Asset Allocation Update

Bilal Hafeez, Viresh Kanabar

This month, we expand the coverage of our asset class views and provide further granularity in each component.

Prime Trade Ideas: Positioning for a US Debt Ceiling Debacle

Ben Ford

We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Defensive Positioning Into May Central Bank Meetings

    Ben Ford

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

  2. Asset Allocation: Why We Are Underweight Equities

    Bilal Hafeez

    While many were panicking about a 2008-style bank crisis, we cautioned against such predictions. So far, our view has been right.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Crypto and Currencies in Focus

    Ben Ford

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

Prime Trade Ideas: Trading the End of Hiking Cycles and Bank Fallout

Ben Ford

We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document. Reach out to us on Slack or email the author with any questions about the content.

Asset Allocation Update: Cash Is Safe

Bilal Hafeez

In 2022, we outlined our ‘everything breaks’ portfolio, which meant constantly overweighting cash above all else.

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