Ep. 232: Bob Elliott on US Recession Odds, Fed Policy and Equity Risks

Bob Elliott is the Co-Founder of Unlimited, which uses machine learning to create index replication ETFs of alternative investments, like hedge funds. Prior to founding Unlimited, Bob was a Senior Investment Executive at Bridgewater Associates, where he served on the Investment Committee (G7) and led Ray Dalio’s personal investment research team for nearly a decade. Bob holds a degree in History and Science from Harvard. In this podcast we discuss:

• Income business cycle rather than credit cycle
• Parallels to 1950s and 1960s
• Is Fed policy restrictive?
• Difference between late cycle and recession
• Importance of asset price moves
• Inflation risks
• Fed cuts overpriced
• Too much focus on BoJ hikes
• Europe’s growth dynamics
• Investment views
• Podcast mentioned: Radiolab

You can follow Bob on X, LinkedIn and YouTube.

(The commentary contained in the above article does not constitute an offer or a solicitation, or a recommendation to implement or liquidate an investment or to carry out any other transaction. It should not be used as a basis for any investment decision or other decision. Any investment decision should be based on appropriate professional advice specific to your needs.)