Subscribe

Insights for the world's most sophisticated investors.

Powered by independent thinking and industry experts.

Supported by the latest AI and Machine Learning.

Explore Our Strategy

    Want to receive our latest macro and financial market updates? Subscribe to our newsletters!

    About Macro Hive

    Macro Hive is a leading independent provider of global macro strategy.

    Trusted by clients at 7 of the world's top 10 banks and all top 5 hedge funds, we combine best-in-class human and artificial intelligence to provide institutional investors with market-leading investment opportunities.

    Our experts leverage large language models, such as those that power chatbots like ChatGPT, to develop innovative, data-driven solutions to complex financial problems and to build state-of-the-art models in search of alpha signals across asset classes.

    Learn more

    Hive on Media more videos

    Chip Cycles, European Tech, and the Dollar Resilience

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    Will the Iran War Trigger the Next Debt Shock

    Bilal Hafeez on Al Jazeera

    "Post-War" Rally, Dollar Weakness Return, and European Tech

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    Latest Strategy read all

    1. Turning Neutral on NZD/USD and Removing UST Leg from JPY Steepener

      Viresh Kanabar

      Market Implications Canada: We are neutral CORZ6 but are becoming more favourable to a bullish 5s stance on the 2s5s10s CGB fly. Japan FX: We turned neutral USD/JPY as the flow story has lost momentum. From here, a bullish JPY view can now be better expressed via bearish CHF/JPY. Japan Rates: We retain a bias […]

    2. October Fed Is Asymmetric. The Probability of a Hike Is At Least 40%

      Antonio Del Favero

      October Fed Is Asymmetric. The Probability of a Hike Is At Least 40%, Not 20% As Priced Currently, I expect a strong jobs report and the core CPI print to come in at 0.2% (and likely round down to that level). The jobs report will be on November 6, and the next FOMC meeting will […]

    3. AI Is Raising Relative Prices, Not Inflation

      Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

      Summary The Fed views AI primarily as a near-term positive demand shock, eventually offset by longer-term productivity gains. In my view, AI is raising some capital and energy prices, but there is little evidence of broader second-round inflation. The FOMC may be underestimating a more immediate disinflationary channel: AI-driven weakness in employment and wage growth. […]

    Hive Podcast more podcasts

    1. Ep. 378: Apurv Jain on Alternative Data, Real-Time Macro Nowcasting, and AI’s Economic Role

      Apurv Jain is the Founder and CEO of MacroX, a San Francisco-based startup building a real-time measurement layer for the global economy using alternative data. Before MacroX, Apurv built machine-learning investing systems at Microsoft, traded FX derivatives at Deutsche Bank, and worked at Bridgewater Associates. His research experience spans Microsoft Research and Harvard Business School, with publications and invited talks across academia, central banks, and global forums including Davos and the World AI Summit. He holds degrees from Georgia Tech and the University of Chicago and is passionate about mixed martial arts.

    2. Ep. 377: Jay Pelosky on the Tripolar World, the Spending Super Cycle, and the Global Earnings Boom

      Jay Pelosky is the founder of TPW Advisory. He has over 35 years of buy-side and sell-side financial market experience. Before going independent, Jay was at Morgan Stanley, where he was ranked #1 by Institutional Investor in Global Equity Strategy and Global Asset Allocation Strategy.

    3. Ep. 376: Rory Johnston on $100 Oil, the Refined Product Crisis, and China’s Swing Power

      Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines. Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank.

    What our customers are saying

    Macro Hive helps me focus on ideas that truly matter and it’s fabulous! It’s developed into a community of people that are curating ideas for each other.

    Jim Leitner
    President of Falcon Management

    Macro Hive is a network and community connecting some of the best investors and thinkers together. A real industry disruptor!

    Etienne de Marsac
    Head of Absolute Return at Sunny Asset Management

    When tackling macro themes, I am faced with many challenges, such as the involvement of numerous variables and tons of related information. Macro Hive helps me deal with this complexity. Macro Hive has found a unique way to use human skill and knowledge combined with leveraging AI to deliver a fantastic product.

    Lorenzo Lorenzi
    Foundation Endowment Manager

    Macro Hive has been able to build a first-in-class research team. I look to them for consistently high quality insights and fast moving analysis in reacting quickly to market-moving events. They have also become thought leaders and innovators in using quant analysis and machine learning tools in creating insights and improving traditional factor models, volatility analysis, positioning, and sentiment.

    Mirza Baig
    PM at Point 72

    Get the weekly newsletter 16,000+ finance pros read for 'must-have' trade ideas.

      Spring sale - Prime Membership only £3 for 3 months! Get trade ideas and macro insights now