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Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Bilal Hafeez on Al Jazeera
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Equities | FX | Rates
Sam van de Schootbrugge
Summary Hedge Funds (HF) were busiest in FX, adding to NZD shorts and GBP longs while trimming BRL longs. Rates was the other notable pocket, where they added to 30d FF longs. Equities was the other notable pocket, where they trimmed Russell 2000 shorts. Real Money (RM) split changes across FX and Rates; in FX, […]
Bilal Hafeez
Tomasz Nadrowski is a portfolio manager at the Amvest Terraden Critical Minerals Fund. He was a former Director at the World Economic Forum and Vice President of Business Development at AngloGold Ashanti, then the world’s largest gold producer. Tomasz has spent over fifteen years managing commodity and mining equity portfolios for hedge funds and family offices across the U.S., Europe, and Asia. He is fluent in seven languages and a regular contributor to Oxford Analytica. He combines deep industry knowledge with a strategic understanding of how resources, markets, and power intersect in today’s shifting geopolitical landscape. He is also the host of the podcast Tyranny Today.
Macro Hive
Dominique and Antonio explore expectations for upcoming Federal Reserve policy alongside the economic and geopolitical implications of sticky inflation, upcoming midterm elections, and Middle East tensions. They analyse the unusual conundrum of persistent inflation occurring alongside wage disinflation and an ongoing productivity boom, as well as consumer resilience supported by stock market wealth effects and falling savings rates despite contracting real incomes. While the Fed is expected to remain on hold next week as it pursues a gradual "recalibration," focus shifts to whether persistent price pressures will prompt a 25-basis-point rate hike in December and a dot plot projecting further tightening next year. Dominique notes that potential congressional flips will not immediately constrain executive foreign policy in the Middle East, and he maintains that US economic resilience is likely to persist over the next couple of quarters.
Macro Hive
Developed Markets Wed 28 Oct – FOMC. I expect the Fed to hold rates, with Warsh delivering a hawkish press conference that avoids forward guidance while keeping further hikes on the table. Wed 28 Oct – UK Autumn Budget. Headline surprises should be smaller than previous years. Potential swings will ultimately come from departmental […]
Tomasz Nadrowski is a portfolio manager at the Amvest Terraden Critical Minerals Fund. He was a former Director at the World Economic Forum and Vice President of Business Development at AngloGold Ashanti, then the world’s largest gold producer. Tomasz has spent over fifteen years managing commodity and mining equity portfolios for hedge funds and family offices across the U.S., Europe, and Asia. He is fluent in seven languages and a regular contributor to Oxford Analytica. He combines deep industry knowledge with a strategic understanding of how resources, markets, and power intersect in today’s shifting geopolitical landscape. He is also the host of the podcast Tyranny Today.
Alex Edmans is a Professor of Finance at London Business School and is one of the world’s leading academics on company purpose, social value, and profit. Alex has a PhD from MIT as a Fulbright Scholar and was previously a tenured professor at Wharton and an investment banker at Morgan Stanley.
Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.
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