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Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Bilal Hafeez on Al Jazeera
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Emerging Markets
Simon Quijano-Evans
Summary & Market Implications – HUF hasn’t been impressed by the plethora of press briefings the authorities held on Tuesday 20 October, especially as the Eurozone path wasn’t initially addressed – In addition, the path that emerged from journalist questions and a Reuters interview pointed to a possible 2032 Euro-accession date, perhaps a year later […]
Sam van de Schootbrugge
Summary Rates were mixed across our monitored cash-bond and swap curves: a risk-off/flight-to-quality tone helped drive a broad rally, but France remained at the edge of its five-year yield ranges after this week’s selloff. Cross-market curves also moved decisively: OATs led the relative steepening, with OATs 2s10s vs USTs steepening by 15.6bp to 94.4bp, while […]
Ben Ford, Viresh Kanabar
Summary and Market Implications Last week we outlined that G10 FX asymmetry is shifting, leading us to turn bearish EUR/CHF and neutral USD and EUR/USD. Ahead, an inability to price out Fed hawkishness should bite into equity markets and help accelerate EUR/CHF downside. However, if this becomes a ‘sell-US’ month rather than a ‘sell-risk’ month, […]
Antonio Del Favero
Summary and Market Implications OATs-Bunds likely to break above 190bp (the 2011 level). Our initial call was for the spread to break above 130bp. This call was made on 18 September when it was still slightly below 100bp. BTPs-Bunds likely to break above 140bp. October FOMC is asymmetric — it should be pricing closer to […]
Alex Edmans is a Professor of Finance at London Business School and is one of the world’s leading academics on company purpose, social value, and profit. Alex has a PhD from MIT as a Fulbright Scholar and was previously a tenured professor at Wharton and an investment banker at Morgan Stanley.
Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.
Apurv Jain is the Founder and CEO of MacroX, a San Francisco-based startup building a real-time measurement layer for the global economy using alternative data. Before MacroX, Apurv built machine-learning investing systems at Microsoft, traded FX derivatives at Deutsche Bank, and worked at Bridgewater Associates. His research experience spans Microsoft Research and Harvard Business School, with publications and invited talks across academia, central banks, and global forums including Davos and the World AI Summit. He holds degrees from Georgia Tech and the University of Chicago and is passionate about mixed martial arts.
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