Latest Articles read all

  1. Could the Fed Go Broke?

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    The Fed is hiking interest rates rapidly to combat sky-high inflation but doing so means it must pay more interest on its liabilities.

  2. MH US Recession Odds Rise to Highest Since Dot-Com Bubble

    Dalvir Mandara, Bilal Hafeez

    The probability of a recession within the next 12 months reaches 77% as US curve inversion continues.

Bilal's Weekly Insights read all

  1. Asset Allocation Update: Holding Steady Through Volatile Markets

    June was a brutal month for markets. Thankfully, July came to the rescue. The S&P500 bounced 9.1% (the third-strongest July on record).

  2. Asset Allocation Update: Cash Wins on Recession Shock

    June was a brutal month for markets. Equities were down 9%, commodities fell 8%, corporate bonds fell between 3% and 7%, EM bonds dropped 5%...

  3. Six Charts I Cannot Ignore

    It is easy to get caught up in short-term market gyrations and miss the big picture. After all, the VIX is historically elevated, and markets are seeing major swings every few days.

Trending Articles read all

  1. Are We in a Recession? Okun’s Law Says No

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    There are technical and academic definitions of recession. Technically, a recession occurs when quarterly GDP growth is negative for two quarters in a row.

  2. Auto Industry (and US Economy) Still Labouring Under Covid

    John Tierney

    If you want a quick read on how the US economy and corporate America remain unbalanced as we all try to emerge from the Covid fog...

  3. Crypto Index Tracker: Crypto Markets Feeling the Hawkish Heat

    Bilal Hafeez, Dalvir Mandara

    After the last FOMC meeting, markets thought we had reached a peak in Fed hawkishness. Crypto markets climbed onto this narrative and grinded higher...

Hive Videos more videos

  1. Week Ahead: It’s Going to Get a Lot More Painful!

    In our latest Week Ahead video update, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss whether we are heading into a recession...

  2. Week Ahead: NFP to Surprise on the Upside

    In our latest Week Ahead podcast, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut share their thoughts on the key takeaways from last week...

  3. Week Ahead: What to Expect from the Upcoming Fed Meeting

    In our latest Week Ahead video, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut share their thoughts on what to expect from the upcoming Fed meeting...

Hive Explainers more explainers

  1. How Long Will This Bear Market Last?

    John Tierney

    With the S&P 500 down around 20% from its recent high, we are in a bear market. We offer a framework to assess what stage it is in and what likely comes next.

  2. Why Do Central Banks Use Futures Prices?

    Henry Occleston

    Futures prices are important to understand. They are used by various institutions in their forecasts and thus help shape government and central bank policy.

  3. Stablecoin: What Should an Investor Know?

    Dalvir Mandara

    Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that are supposed to maintain a 1:1 peg against a reference asset (e.g., USD).

Hive Podcast more podcasts

  1. Ep. 124: Diego Parrilla On High Inflation, Anti-Bubbles and the Problem with Stop Losses

    Diego is Managing Partner at $1.8b Quadriga Asset Managers. Prior to joining Quadriga in Madrid in 2017, Diego worked in London, New York, and Singapore for two decades...

  2. Ep. 123: Lindsay Politi On the Inflation Path, Fed Cuts and Money Printing

    Lindsay Politi is Head of Inflation Strategies at One River Asset Management. Lindsay began her career at Wellington Management in Boston where she was head of Global Inflation-linked Investments.

  3. Ep. 122: Ivy Zelman on the Coming US Housing Crisis

    Ivy Zelman is CEO at Zelman & Associates. She co-founded Zelman & Associates in 2007 which is a leading housing research firm in the US.

Hive Resources

Meet Macro Hive about Macro Hive

Bilal Hafeez
Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeez: CEO & Head of Research

Before starting Macro Hive, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge.

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Andrew Simon
Andrew Simon

Andrew Simon: Chief Operating Officer

Andrew spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy and sell side. He co-founded Eschaton Opportunities, a $100 million hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier in his career, Andrew led JP Morgan's institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets in Europe, ran Lehman's global derivative sales business, and managed Deutsche Bank's European currency option trading and derivative research business.

More about Andrew…

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