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AI | Equities
Viresh Kanabar
AI Positioning and Anthropic’s Miss Justify Near-Term AI Sell-Off Despite being a private company, Anthropic just had its first earnings miss. The company reported Q3 revenue of $16.8bn, an adjusted gross margin of 85%, an adjusted operating margin above 11%, and positive free cash flow. This compares against growth of $11.5bn in Q2. Importantly, Anthropic, […]
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
Summary The US productivity boom began in 2022, before the AI investment surge, driven by capital deepening and faster TFP growth, potentially supported by post-pandemic labor reallocation and entrepreneurship. The current boom is weaker than the 1990s IT boom, especially with respect to wage growth that is lagging productivity. Sustaining the boom will require more […]
Sam van de Schootbrugge
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models, we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models are, on average, down WoW. Equity models are down -1.2%, rates models are down -0.5%, and FX models are up +0.1%. Rates momentum models are the best performer over a […]
Sam van de Schootbrugge
This report presents outputs from Macro Hive’s quantitative model for informational purposes only. Model signals and recommendations describe model outputs and do not constitute trade ideas, investment recommendations or investment advice by Macro Hive. They should not be interpreted as a recommendation to enter into, maintain or exit any transaction. Summary Rates were split across […]
Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.
Apurv Jain is the Founder and CEO of MacroX, a San Francisco-based startup building a real-time measurement layer for the global economy using alternative data. Before MacroX, Apurv built machine-learning investing systems at Microsoft, traded FX derivatives at Deutsche Bank, and worked at Bridgewater Associates. His research experience spans Microsoft Research and Harvard Business School, with publications and invited talks across academia, central banks, and global forums including Davos and the World AI Summit. He holds degrees from Georgia Tech and the University of Chicago and is passionate about mixed martial arts.
Jay Pelosky is the founder of TPW Advisory. He has over 35 years of buy-side and sell-side financial market experience. Before going independent, Jay was at Morgan Stanley, where he was ranked #1 by Institutional Investor in Global Equity Strategy and Global Asset Allocation Strategy.
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Mirza Baig
PM at Point 72
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