Bitcoin & Crypto
Bilal Hafeez, Dalvir Mandara
Ethereum has rallied alongside more traditional risk assets since the middle of June (it has correlated well with the S&P and NASDAQ since at least mid-2021...
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
The Fed is hiking interest rates rapidly to combat sky-high inflation but doing so means it must pay more interest on its liabilities.
Dalvir Mandara, Bilal Hafeez
The probability of a recession within the next 12 months reaches 77% as US curve inversion continues.
June was a brutal month for markets. Thankfully, July came to the rescue. The S&P500 bounced 9.1% (the third-strongest July on record).
June was a brutal month for markets. Equities were down 9%, commodities fell 8%, corporate bonds fell between 3% and 7%, EM bonds dropped 5%...
It is easy to get caught up in short-term market gyrations and miss the big picture. After all, the VIX is historically elevated, and markets are seeing major swings every few days.
Equities | US
John Tierney
The big story so far is a slowdown in advertising across every company that depends on it. Consumer-oriented companies are mixed, but few expect serious weakness in 2H.
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
There are technical and academic definitions of recession. Technically, a recession occurs when quarterly GDP growth is negative for two quarters in a row.
John Tierney
If you want a quick read on how the US economy and corporate America remain unbalanced as we all try to emerge from the Covid fog...
Bilal Hafeez, Dalvir Mandara
After the last FOMC meeting, markets thought we had reached a peak in Fed hawkishness. Crypto markets climbed onto this narrative and grinded higher...
In our latest Week Ahead video update, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut discuss whether we are heading into a recession...
In our latest Week Ahead podcast, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut share their thoughts on the key takeaways from last week...
In our latest Week Ahead video, Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut share their thoughts on what to expect from the upcoming Fed meeting...
Monetary Policy & Inflation | US
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
There are technical and academic definitions of recession. Technically, a recession occurs when quarterly GDP growth is negative for two quarters in a row.
John Tierney
With the S&P 500 down around 20% from its recent high, we are in a bear market. We offer a framework to assess what stage it is in and what likely comes next.
Henry Occleston
Futures prices are important to understand. They are used by various institutions in their forecasts and thus help shape government and central bank policy.
Dalvir Mandara
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that are supposed to maintain a 1:1 peg against a reference asset (e.g., USD).
Diego is Managing Partner at $1.8b Quadriga Asset Managers. Prior to joining Quadriga in Madrid in 2017, Diego worked in London, New York, and Singapore for two decades...
Lindsay Politi is Head of Inflation Strategies at One River Asset Management. Lindsay began her career at Wellington Management in Boston where she was head of Global Inflation-linked Investments.
Ivy Zelman is CEO at Zelman & Associates. She co-founded Zelman & Associates in 2007 which is a leading housing research firm in the US.
The best investment advice curated for your portfolio's well-being.
In-depth analysis of long-term finance and investment trends.
Finance and fiction books recommended by The Hive Community.
Interesting tips, trends, and topics outside the investment industry.
Before starting Macro Hive, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge.
Andrew spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy and sell side. He co-founded Eschaton Opportunities, a $100 million hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier in his career, Andrew led JP Morgan's institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets in Europe, ran Lehman's global derivative sales business, and managed Deutsche Bank's European currency option trading and derivative research business.
