Latest Articles read all

  1. Bearish Ethereum Signals Across the Board

    Bilal Hafeez, Dalvir Mandara

    In recent weeks, all the focus has been on the de-pegging of the TerraUSD (UST) stablecoin. The Luna coin, which acted as a ‘reserve’ for UST, has collapsed almost to zero.

  2. Recession Probability at 42%

    Dalvir Mandara, Bilal Hafeez

    The probability of a recession within the next 12 months increases to 42% as the 2s10s slope increases.

Bilal's Weekly Insights read all

  1. Markets Have Entered the Multiverse of Madness

    Movie fans will know that the new phase of the Marvel Cinematic Universe recently kicked off with Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness.

  2. What China’s COVID Setbacks Mean For Markets

    China was originally held up as the success story for managing COVID. But two years on, Shanghai is locked down and Beijing is testing all its residents for COVID.

  3. Asset Allocation Update: Recession Portfolio

    Due to popular demand, we are producing a monthly update on our asset allocation views.

Trending Articles read all

  1. Markets Have Entered the Multiverse of Madness

    Bilal Hafeez

    Movie fans will know that the new phase of the Marvel Cinematic Universe recently kicked off with Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness.

  2. The Golden Age of Oil and Gas Producers

    Josh Young

    Rising global demand for oil and a gradual green transition mean we may be in the early stages of the next oil and gas supercycle.

  3. Asset Allocation Update: Fragile Markets and Cash

    Bilal Hafeez

    Our core investment view remains the same. Markets are fragile, preservation of capital is paramount, and cash is king.

Hive Videos more videos

  1. Week Ahead: What Market Could be Next to Sell Off? (16th May – 20th May)

    Andrew and Dominique discuss whether it is surprising that yields are not higher, why keeping an eye on retail sales data is important, and what markets could be next...

  2. Webinar Recording: The Terra-fying Crypto Quake: What’s Next?

    Crypto markets continue to crater, with Bitcoin diving to a 16-month low. Alarmingly, the stablecoin Terra (UST) has de-pegged...

  3. Week Ahead: Thoughts on FOMC Meeting & NFP, and Why Upcoming CPI is Important (9th May – 13th May)

    Andrew Simon and Dominique Dwor-Frecaut share their thoughts on last week’s FOMC meeting, non-farm payrolls, and whether the Fed’s comments on quantitative tightening...

Hive Explainers more explainers

  1. The Fed Balance Sheet: What Happens in May 2022?

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    Recent Fed communications suggest it will announce the start of quantitative tightening (or securities portfolio shrinkage) at next week’s FOMC meeting. In this explainer...

  2. Convexity and Duration as Factors in Bond Market Investment

    Sam van de Schootbrugge

    In this explainer, we cover how to price a bond, how to use duration to predict bond price changes, and how to use convexity to get better estimates of profit and loss.

  3. What Proof-of-Stake Is and Why It Matters for Blockchain

    Dalvir Mandara

    What is proof of stake? This explainer explores what PoS is, how it works, its weaknesses as well as which cryptocurrencies use it.

Hive Podcast more podcasts

  1. Ep. 112: Mike Philbrick on Bond Massacres, Better Diversification and Systematic Thinking

    Mike is the Chief Executive Officer of ReSolve Global Asset Management. He has over 29 years of experience in investment management and is responsible for investment decisions, coaching, and strategic leadership.

  2. Ep. 111: Tymofiy Mylovanov on Ukrainian Resistance, Russia’s Hidden Economic Weapon and Germany’s Error

    Tymofiy Mylovanov is the President of the Kyiv School of Economics, advisor to Ukrainian President Zelensky and former Ukrainian Minister of Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture. He is currently focused on humanitarian work for Ukraine.

  3. Ep. 110: Phil Suttle on the Inflation Combustion Model, the Fed’s Errors, and US Housing

    Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank.

Hive Resources

Meet Macro Hive about Macro Hive

Bilal Hafeez
Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeez: CEO & Head of Research

Before starting Macro Hive, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge.

More about Bilal…

Andrew Simon
Andrew Simon

Andrew Simon: Chief Operating Officer

Andrew spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy and sell side. He co-founded Eschaton Opportunities, a $100 million hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier in his career, Andrew led JP Morgan's institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets in Europe, ran Lehman's global derivative sales business, and managed Deutsche Bank's European currency option trading and derivative research business.

More about Andrew…

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