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Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Bilal Hafeez on Al Jazeera
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Emerging Markets
Simon Quijano-Evans
Bottom Line: – We continue to see EUR/HUF with potential to drift lower in the coming weeks to a level of 355 to start with, as: 1) the 2027 budget framework is released on 19 October, 2) an official path is paved for Eurozone accession, 3) EU monies start to flow in substantial size and […]
Sam van de Schootbrugge
Summary Hedge Funds (HF) were busiest in FX, adding to NZD shorts and GBP longs while trimming MXN longs. Equities was the other notable pocket, where they trimmed Nikkei (yen) and Russell 2000 shorts. Real Money (RM) made its clearest moves in FX, adding to NZD and AUD shorts while trimming CHF shorts. Equities also […]
Macro Hive
Ben and Dominique explore the recent strong US CPI and PPI prints, driven by supply chain pressures and volatile components like energy-sensitive services and hotel prices. They analyse the policy dilemma of sticky inflation alongside wage disinflation, suggesting business markups and corporate market concentration—rather than the labour market—may be sustaining price pressures. While the Fed is expected to proceed cautiously to avoid triggering an unnecessary recession, focus shifts to a growing consensus for more hikes, even among the most dovish FOMC members such as Mary Daly. Dominique notes that retail sales figures reflect negative real wage growth for consumers and maintains a base case forecast of just one final rate hike in December.
Macro Hive
Developed Markets Mon 19 Oct – Canada CPI. With the BoC having lowered the bar for the first two hikes, every CPI outturn matters now. Consensus expects no change in YoY trim or median, which should keep the BoC happy for now. Mon 19 Oct – BoC Quarterly Business Survey. The quarterly business survey […]
Alex Edmans is a Professor of Finance at London Business School and is one of the world’s leading academics on company purpose, social value, and profit. Alex has a PhD from MIT as a Fulbright Scholar and was previously a tenured professor at Wharton and an investment banker at Morgan Stanley.
Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.
Apurv Jain is the Founder and CEO of MacroX, a San Francisco-based startup building a real-time measurement layer for the global economy using alternative data. Before MacroX, Apurv built machine-learning investing systems at Microsoft, traded FX derivatives at Deutsche Bank, and worked at Bridgewater Associates. His research experience spans Microsoft Research and Harvard Business School, with publications and invited talks across academia, central banks, and global forums including Davos and the World AI Summit. He holds degrees from Georgia Tech and the University of Chicago and is passionate about mixed martial arts.
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