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Bilal Hafeez on Al Jazeera
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Europe | Politics & Geopolitics
Liang Ding
Summary Saxony-Anhalt’s AfD surge and CDU collapse echo a national shift since 2022: bloc totals are stable, but voters have left the SPD and CDU/CSU for anti-establishment parties. Protest voting now tracks energy-driven insecurity and opposition to Ukraine aid more than migration. The AfD cannot set federal policy from Saxony-Anhalt, but the result is likely […]
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
Summary Low unemployment leaves inflation as the key concern, with disinflation proceeding too slowly. Fedspeak has turned more hawkish, and August CPI likely failed Waller’s test for a September hold. I expect a 25bp insurance hike this month, followed by a hold through 2027 and resumed normalization in 2028. With hindsight, the 2024–25 cuts may […]
Sam van de Schootbrugge
Summary Hedge Funds (HF) were busiest in FX, adding to BRL longs while trimming JPY shorts and ZAR longs. Rates was the other notable pocket, where they added to 30d FF longs. Equities was the other notable pocket, where they added to NASDAQ 100 shorts. Real Money (RM) made its clearest moves in FX, adding […]
Macro Hive
G10 In the US, the key data is: Retail Sales – Wednesday. Consensus expects headline to increase by 0.9%, or 0.5% real, which would be consistent with other recently strong data, e.g., payrolls In the Eurozone and UK, the main events will be: ECB Wage Tracker and ECB 1Y and 3Y CPI Expectations – Wednesday […]
In this solo episode, Bilal flips the script to pull back the curtain on his personal research workflow, addressing a surge of questions from peers on how to effectively apply AI to financial market analysis using six core principles.
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds, including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in Economics from the London School of Economics.
Jon Turek is the founder and CEO of JST Advisors, a hedge fund advisory service that publishes a weekly research note with global macro trade ideas. JST Advisors works closely with hedge funds on developing asymmetric macro trade ideas and market themes. Outside of JST Advisors, Jon worked as a portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and as an analyst at Moore Capital.
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Mirza Baig
PM at Point 72
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