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    About Macro Hive

    Macro Hive is a leading independent provider of global macro strategy.

    Trusted by clients at 7 of the world's top 10 banks and all top 5 hedge funds, we combine best-in-class human and artificial intelligence to provide institutional investors with market-leading investment opportunities.

    Our experts leverage large language models, such as those that power chatbots like ChatGPT, to develop innovative, data-driven solutions to complex financial problems and to build state-of-the-art models in search of alpha signals across asset classes.

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    Hive on Media more videos

    Chip Cycles, European Tech, and the Dollar Resilience

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    Will the Iran War Trigger the Next Debt Shock

    Bilal Hafeez on Al Jazeera

    "Post-War" Rally, Dollar Weakness Return, and European Tech

    Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV

    Latest Strategy read all

    FX | Politics & Geopolitics | US

    Could The Midterms Turn Out Dollar Positive?

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    Summary The administration’s dollar policy seeks to reconcile a strong dollar with a manufacturing renaissance. Dollar and balance of payments trends seem to signal some erosion in foreign confidence in dollar assets. The election results could support the dollar primarily through reduced policy uncertainty: stronger congressional constraints on executive discretion could reduce the risk premium […]

    1. Leading Indicators Point to US 2Y Breaking 5% and 10Y Breaking 5.20%

      Antonio Del Favero

      Published on Bloomberg chats on Wednesday, 23 September 14:47 LDN Summary Financial conditions (FCs) are not restrictive: Without a sustained 20%+ S&P drop (more on Nasdaq) — for an extended period (not a V-shaped recovery), FCs remain loose. Data is likely to keep surprising to the upside. Retail sales, jobs, and labour market data all […]

    2. Momentum Models Move Higher WoW

      Sam van de Schootbrugge

      When evaluating the performance of our momentum models, we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models are, on average, up WoW. Equity models are up +0.1%, rates models are up +0.4%, and FX models are flat. Rates momentum models are the best performer over a three-month […]

    3. Global Investors Prefer US Corporate Bonds Over Treasuries!

      Bilal Hafeez

      With the US 10y trading around 5%, fears over US fiscal risk are back. One area this shows up is in foreign flows (Chart 1). Global investors have scaled back their Treasury purchases – most notably China, which has been a net seller over the past 12m (Chart 2). But global investors have not abandoned the […]

    Hive Podcast more podcasts

    1. Ep. 376: Rory Johnston on $100 Oil, the Refined Product Crisis, and China’s Swing Power

      Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines. Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank.

    2. Ep. 375: Bilal on How to Use AI to Turbocharge Your Market Analysis

      In this solo episode, Bilal flips the script to pull back the curtain on his personal research workflow, addressing a surge of questions from peers on how to effectively apply AI to financial market analysis using six core principles.

    3. Ep. 374: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on the K-Shaped US Economy, AI Supply Shocks, and Fed Hikes

      Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds, including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in Economics from the London School of Economics.

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