Ep. 197: John Floyd on the Biggest Trades and Risks for 2024

John was previously Head of Macro Strategies at Record Currency Management, an $80 billion currency manager. Prior to that, John was Chairman and CIO of Floyd Plus Currency Fund. Before that, John was a Senior Macro Proprietary Trader at Deutsche Bank and Senior Portfolio Manager at the highly successful $3bn Swiss Bank Currency Fund. John’s successful track record in both macro and currency only investing spans over 25 years. John has also collaborated with psychiatrist, trading coach, and best-selling author, Ari Kiev, which led to participation in writing his book, The Psychology of Risk: Mastering Market Uncertainty. This week’s podcast covers:

Finding asymmetric returns
How to deal with losses
Meta lessons from 2023
Why alpha rather than beta will matter in 2024
The problem with bunched forecasts for US growth and inflation
The US consumer vs corp/CRE credit cycle
How to trade China
The biggest 2024 macro story is Japan
Dollar view, and high beta FX
US elections and geopolitics
Which EM looks attractive
US rates view
Favourite trades to start 2024
Books mentioned: Horse Tradin’ (Green), A Man for All Markets (Thorp), Statistics without Tears (Rowntree), High: A Journey Across the Himalayas (Fatland), Consilience: The Unity of Knowledge (Wilson)

You can follow John’s views here and contact him here.

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