FX carry trades are down almost 4% so far in August. This is their worst performance since last August (see first chart). Perhaps the summer month is cursed – more probable, though, is that vacationing traders leave the market prone to bouts of volatility. It hasn’t helped that the US-China trade war recently escalated (though President Trump seems to be backing down once more), and that the Fed was not as dovish as the markets were pricing…
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