Ep. 190: Dr Douglas Greenig on Trend-Following, the End of Pax-Americana, and Why He ls Long Volatility

Dr Douglas Greenig is the CEO, CIO, and founder of Florin Court Capital, a systematic, trend-following asset manager uniquely broad in its focus on over 500 markets. Doug has over 25 years of experience in portfolio management and trading. Prior to founding Florin Court, Doug started in markets on Goldman Sachs’ bond arbitrage proprietary desk through the late ‘90s after being hired as an Assistant by Fischer Black. Following this, Doug headed Agency Mortgage Trading at RBS Greenwich Capital, worked as a quantitative portfolio manager at Fortress Investment Group, and then as Chief Risk Officer at London quant firm AHL. In this podcast we discuss:

How trend-following works
The importance of volatility scaling to trend-followers
The importance of diversification in gaining an edge
The end of ‘Pax Americana’ and rise of multi-polarity
The risks and uncertainties of the energy transition
The long-term strengths of China
Why the West needs more long-termism and the risks from ‘Vetocracy’
Exponential US debt, and why low interest rates may return
What is America’s place in the world?
How we got lucky on oil and why the green transition needs to be smarter
Books mentioned: The End of History & the Last Man (Fukuyama), How the World Really Works (Smil), Exploring General Equilibrium (Black), and When China Rules the World (Jacques)

You can learn more about Florin Court Capital here.

Read the full transcript here.

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