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19 August 2022 Asset Allocation

Ep. 126: Cameron Crise On Fed’s Balance Sheet Problem, Equity Drawdowns and Inflation

Bilal Hafeez

Cameron Crise is a macro strategist at Bloomberg, where he writes the Macro Man column and posts on the Markets Live blog. Previously, he was a global macro portfolio manager at Graham Capital in Connecticut and Nylon Capital in London. Earlier in his career, he was a currency portfolio manager and economist for several European asset management firms and held a variety of foreign exchange roles at UBS. He is a graduate of Duke University with a degree in public policy studies and history. In this podcast we discuss:

Lessons from working at hedge funds
Where we are in the US growth cycle
Inflation path
How high the Fed will hike
Whether bond yields will reach new highs
The problem with the Fed’s quantitative tightening (QT) programme
Overnight moves in stock markets
Chances of deeper equity correction
Chances of larger financial crisis
Thoughts on China and Europe
Equity earnings
Books mentioned: Reminiscences of a Stock Operator (Lefevre), Market Wizards (Schwager) , Manias, Panics, and Crashes (Kindleberger) and Devil Take the Hindmost (Chancellor)

Make sure to subscribe to the show on Apple, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you go for your podcasts. You can follow us on Twitter and LinkedIn.

(The commentary contained in the above article does not constitute an offer or a solicitation, or a recommendation to implement or liquidate an investment or to carry out any other transaction. It should not be used as a basis for any investment decision or other decision. Any investment decision should be based on appropriate professional advice specific to your needs.)

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