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    MACRO · GEOPOLITICS · EQUITIES · CRYPTO · FX

    Trending Articles read all

    1. Momentum Models Flip Bullish 10Y USTs, Become More Bearish 5Y

      Richard Jones

      When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models’ performance was up 0.3% over the past week (equities +0.8%, FX +0.4%, and rates -0.1%). Momentum models have registered negative returns across all three asset classes over the past three […]

    2. Key Events – Laser Focus on US Jobs Report as Markets Ponder Weaker Economy

      Macro Hive

      Key Events G10 In the US, there is… Employment report – Thursday. Consensus predicts a further slowdown in payrolls to 110k and a 10bp increase in the unemployment rate. This would align with the gradual economic weakening but not enough to move the Fed’s needle. Since the 18 June FOMC, nine of 11 speakers have […]

    3. Fed Likely to Look Through Oil Price Shock

      Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

      Summary The Middle East remains tense and hostilities could easily restart and cause an oil price shock. Because the US is a net energy exporter, but oil producers’ spending is limited, an oil price shock would likely see US income increase but US spending decrease, which would improve the external balance. Because of a tighter […]

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    Meet Macro Hive about Macro Hive

    Bilal Hafeez
    Bilal Hafeez

    Bilal Hafeez: CEO & Head of Research

    Before starting Macro Hive, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge.

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    Andrew Simon
    Andrew Simon

    Andrew Simon: Chief Operating Officer

    Andrew spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy and sell side. He co-founded Eschaton Opportunities, a $100 million hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier in his career, Andrew led JP Morgan's institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets in Europe, ran Lehman's global derivative sales business, and managed Deutsche Bank's European currency option trading and derivative research business.

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    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
    Senior Researcher

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is a macro strategist based in Los Angeles. She has been producing alpha generating trade ideas in FX and rates in EM and G10 at established and startup macro hedge funds in the US since 2011, including at Bridgewater. She has also produced in depth analysis of central banks policies and procedures drawing on her experience at the New York Fed, the IMF and the World Bank as well as on the buy and sell side. Before moving to the US she covered Asian and global EMs at Barclays capital, ABN AMRO and RBS from Singapore. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics.

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