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MACRO · GEOPOLITICS · EQUITIES · CRYPTO · FX
Monetary Policy & Inflation | US
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
Summary Yesterday’s tariff announcement reduced policy uncertainty but was of such magnitude that it created new economic downside risk. The tariffs will lift inflation, though it is uncertain by how much and for how long. The tariffs will likely lead to a contraction in manufacturing output and employment, with an ambiguous impact on the trade […]
Dalvir Mandara, Eric Wang, Bilal Hafeez
Not a day goes by without a new LLM model hitting the market, each claiming to outperform the rest on some benchmark leaderboard. But these self-reported scores often deserve scepticism. Much like marking your own homework, these evaluations can be misleading. For starters, many benchmark datasets – or even their answers – might appear in […]
Richard Jones
Summary EUR/USD is up ~6% so far year-to-date (YTD). The pair hovers about one percentage point off its YTD high seen yesterday, having gained about 1.5% this week ahead of the US jobs report and Powell’s speech later today. Technicals show EUR/USD as overbought in the near-term, coinciding with CTAs ramping up EUR/USD long positioning. […]
Richard Jones
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models were up +0.2% over the past week, with equity models up +0.8% WoW, FX models +0.3% WoW and rates models down -0.4% WoW. Momentum models are up +0.1% in aggregate […]
| Feature | Lite | Prime |
|---|---|---|
| Hive Podcasts | yes | yes |
| Weekly Macro Newsletter | yes | yes |
| Daily Insights Newsletter | yes | |
| Cross Market Strategy | yes | |
| Economic Analysis | yes | |
| Central Bank Policy Analysis | yes | |
| Equity Insights & Trade Ideas | yes | |
| Crypto Flow Frameworks | yes | |
| Academic Paper Summaries | yes | |
| Podcast Transcripts | yes | |
| Hive Minds Investor Chat Room | yes |
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Foundation Endowment Manager
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Etienne de Marsac
Head of Absolute Return at Sunny Asset Management
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Jim Leitner
President of Falcon Management
Before starting Macro Hive, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge.
Andrew spent over 25 years in finance on both the buy and sell side. He co-founded Eschaton Opportunities, a $100 million hedge fund focused on global thematic value investing. Earlier in his career, Andrew led JP Morgan's institutional sales business across foreign exchange and emerging markets in Europe, ran Lehman's global derivative sales business, and managed Deutsche Bank's European currency option trading and derivative research business.
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is a macro strategist based in Los Angeles. She has been producing alpha generating trade ideas in FX and rates in EM and G10 at established and startup macro hedge funds in the US since 2011, including at Bridgewater. She has also produced in depth analysis of central banks policies and procedures drawing on her experience at the New York Fed, the IMF and the World Bank as well as on the buy and sell side. Before moving to the US she covered Asian and global EMs at Barclays capital, ABN AMRO and RBS from Singapore. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics.
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