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By Bilal Hafeez 16-09-2019
In: top-picks | Other

Top Picks: Growth & Labour Market

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18th February How to add unemployment into business cycle dating and why subprime auto delinquencies are at all-time highs Reading the Tea Leaves of the U.S. Business Cycle—Part Two (Liberty Street Economics, 6 min read) Using a “threshold rule” for the unemployment rate provides a good fit with the dates of NBER-defined business cycles. With limited revisions to the unemployment data it also provides a stable and timely gauge of the cycle.      The Accuracy…

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