Prime Trade Ideassee more…

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Prepare for a Hawkish Battle

    Ben Ford

    Bilal’s asset allocation will be updated in March. For now, the themes remain: Investors expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to end its hiking cycle soon.

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: Positioning for Wrongly Priced Central Banks

    Ben Ford

    We consolidate our favourite biases into one, easy-to-read, weekly report! Please find the original pieces linked throughout and a summary table at the end of the document.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Outperform the S&P 500 as the Fed Slows

    Ben Ford

    The Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) have all hiked in February. Here are our latest views to survive in what follows:

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Our Favourite Trades to Start 2023

    Ben Ford

    We are over halfway through January and our trades continue to hold up.

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: How to Position for 2023

    Ben Ford

    Bilal continued to advocate the 'everything breaks' portfolio. He now has 2023 in sight: timing will prove critical as a likely Fed pivot, China reopening and better European energy outlook feed through into markets.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Time to Turn Bullish on China?

    Ben Ford

    John unwound his retail, US infrastructure and European equity index positions. He is now up 2% against the S&P 500.

Prime Trade Ideas: Portfolio Steady Despite Turbulence

Ben Ford

John unwound his short semiconductor trade for an oversized profit. He is now considering when to turn long (vs S&P 500).

Prime Trade Ideas: How to Beat the S&P 500

Ben Ford

John launched a new framework for his US equity ETF biases. The methodology revealed that he is beating the S&P 500. You can follow him here.

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Profiting from Hawkish Central Banks

    Ben Ford

    Bilal’s asset allocation remains unchanged: overweight cash, neutral cash and commodities, and underweight equities and bonds.

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: No Reason to Panic in Volatile Markets

    Ben Ford

    Our biases in Asia FX have registered strong returns. Now, we are making changes. We closed our bearish KRW position and turned bearish on SGD...

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Protecting Your Portfolio in Periods of Rampant Inflation

    Ben Ford

    ‘Cash is king’ has become a favourite phrase of Bilal’s. He is yet to let it go – and for good reason. The market is finally catching up with our view that the Federal Reserve must...

Prime Trade Ideas: Trading Weakness in Asia FX

Ben Ford

John left his US equity ETF biases However, in the process, he has strongly reiterated being underweight equities, homebuilders, and consumer staples, and overweight energy...

Prime Trade Ideas: Time to Adjust Your Equity Holdings

Ben Ford

John introduced biases to major indices: he is overweight S&P 500, and underweight NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, and European indices. Meanwhile, on US sectors, he made eight changes...

  1. Prime Trade Ideas: Opportunity in the Chaos

    Ben Ford

    Preservation of capital is key; Bilal leaves his asset allocation unchanged: overweight cash, neutral commodities and crypto, and underweight equities and bonds.

  2. Prime Trade Ideas: Wary and Paring Risk

    Ben Ford

    Remaining overweight US homebuilders, but wary of headwinds. We still see value in the housing sector due to a supply-demand imbalance but outline risks from Fed tightening.

  3. Prime Trade Ideas: Neutral (But Nuanced) on Commodities

    Ben Ford

    Neutral commodities. Bilal’s latest Asset Allocation sees market volatility and recession fears limiting near-term gains for commodities, switching from overweight to neutral.

Prime Trade Ideas: A Defence Against the Summer Gloom

Ben Ford

Cash remains king. The Fed recently hiked 75bps, and we think it could ultimately go higher than markets are pricing. As a result, recession odds have increased.

Prime Trade Ideas: Positioning for More Turbulence in Equities

Ben Ford

We are in a bear market. And if recent earnings momentum weakens (as we expect), it will worsen.

View all articles in "Prime Trade Ideas"…

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