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Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Summary The ‘DeepSeek moment’ selloff earlier this year was primarily driven by the unwind of crowded momentum stocks and de-grossing events, rather than the popular narratives at the time concerning DeepSeek’s model development or fears about GPU requirements. AI demand continues to soar, evidenced by an exponential increase in token processing (e.g., Google processing nearly […]
Summary The AI revolution’s footprint has so far been much bigger in markets than in the real economy. The Magnificent Seven’s extremely large capex spending has a high import component that limits its GDP impact. IT employment is gently falling but represents only about 2% of private employment. As AI adoption spreads to the whole […]
Not a day goes by without a new LLM model hitting the market, each claiming to outperform the rest on some benchmark leaderboard. But these self-reported scores often deserve scepticism. Much like marking your own homework, these evaluations can be misleading. For starters, many benchmark datasets – or even their answers – might appear in […]
Monetary Policy & Inflation | US
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
Summary Markets are currently pricing only 10% risk of a 50bp Fed cut next week. Before CPI, I think risks are near but below 50%. Recent data shows the labour market is weaker than earlier thought as well as rising downside employment risks. Overall, the labour market is in worse shape than a year ago […]
Macro Hive
Key Events For Insights Into Market Pricing and Forecasts Around Key Events, Visit Our NEW Event Monitor! G10 Event Monitor Next week sees several important data releases, including Empire State Manufacturing, Retail Sales and Industrial Production. However, markets are seeing through these, focussing instead on central bank meetings. Options expiring on 18 September cover the […]
Ben Ford
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models delivered another negative weekly outing, down -0.2%. Equity momentum models performed worst (-0.3% WoW), while FX momentum models registered a smaller loss (-0.3% WoW) and rates momentum models a marginal […]
Chris Hughes is an economist and author who now serves as Chair of the Economic Security Project, a leading nonprofit advocating for economic power for all Americans. Chris was a cofounder of Facebook.
Alberto Gallo is Chief Investment Officer and Co-founder at Andromeda Capital Management. Prior to that, Alberto initiated and ran the Global Credit Opportunities fund at Algebris Investments. Previously, he ran macro credit research at RBS in London and served in senior research roles at Goldman Sachs in New York, Bear Stearns in New York and London, and Merrill Lynch in London.
Jonathan Xiong is the founder and CEO/CIO of Arrowpoint Investment Partners, a new Asia-focused hedge fund. Prior to starting Arrowpoint, Jonathan was the Co-CEO of Millennium Management Asia for five years.
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