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Phil Suttle

Macro Hive Author

If you would like to connect and contact the author,
please email meettheresearchers@macrohive.com
SPECIALITY: Economics, Global Macro,

Phil Suttle is the founder and principal of Suttle Economics.


  • COVID Fragile 5

    In: Hive Exclusives | COVID-19 Economics Emerging Markets

    The C-19 Crisis And The Fragile-5

    July 21, 2020

    The Fragile-5 recovered quickly from the capital flow shock in March, and rates have fallenThe yield decline reflects a steep markdown in…

  • In: Hive Exclusives | Economics Geopolitics US

    Economic Policy Changes Under Biden

    June 29, 2020

    The odds of a Democrat sweep in November have recently risen from 35% to about 60%. A Biden presidency would warrant lower equity prices…

  • US Growth Forecast

    In: Hive Exclusives | Economics Growth & Labour Market US

    A New US Economic Forecast

    April 16, 2020

    US forecasts—my own included—have shifted to project a 30%+, saar, slump in Q2. Such an extreme decline implies an awful April…

  • Investor Cartoon

    In: Hive Exclusives | Data, Models & Market Infrastructure Economics Growth & Labour Market

    Global Growth Is Starting To Pick Up

    January 09, 2020

    A tentative uptick in some cyclical indicators confirms our view that global economic growth will accelerate through the first half of this year…

  • In: Hive Exclusives | Monetary Policy & Inflation US

    US Inflation To Head Higher In 2020

    November 21, 2019

    In 2019 market participants have viewed moves in inflation asymmetrically. Phases of decline, although largely noise, they treated as concerning – thinking that perhaps it’s a slide into deflation (an unlikely event historically). ..

  • In: Hive Exclusives | Economics Geopolitics Growth & Labour Market US

    The Trump Presidency: An Economic Report Card

    October 03, 2019

    To say that Donald Trump’s unusual leadership style has been deeply polarizing is an understatement. He is the only President in US…

  • In: Hive Exclusives | Equities Fiscal Policy & Inequality FX Growth Monetary Policy & Inflation Rates US

    US Set for Japanification?

    September 26, 2019

    The path of US interest rates has reversed sharply this year, leading to legitimate concern over whether the US is destined for Japanification. Japanese…

  • Fed Flag

    In: Hive Exclusives | Growth & Labour Market Monetary Policy & Inflation Rates US

    The Fed’s Upcoming Blunder

    July 18, 2019

    What a difference seven months makes. At the end of November 2018, financial markets priced the Fed funds rate (then 2.2%) to end 2020 at about 2.7%…