Julius Probst is the European macroeconomist. He has an MSc in Economics and a PhD in Economic History from Lund University, Sweden. Julius has previously spent time at the ECB and Macrobond Financial, and is currently a labour economist for Appcast, where he writes for Recruitonomics.
FX | Japan
Julius Probst, PhD
Summary JPY has plummeted over the last two years despite Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention. But fears of a Japanese currency and debt crisis are overblown: the BoJ owns about half the outstanding JGBs, while foreigners own only a fraction of Japanese debt. Japan has also one of the largest global net asset positions; a […]
Julius Probst, PhD
Summary Worker shortages are hitting labour markets in advanced economies hard. Without a massive inflow of foreign workers, countries like Germany will soon see their workforce shrink. After several decades of declining bargaining power and stagnating wages, these trends might now finally reverse as adverse demographics are increasingly leading to labour scarcity. The Decade-Long Decline […]
Julius Probst, PhD
Excessive money growth during the height of the pandemic was a good predictor for high inflation one year later.
Julius Probst, PhD
One of the more worrying global trends in recent decades is that economic growth in advanced economies has fizzled out. The economic historian Robert Gordon suggests the US economy is struggling with demographic trends like a rapidly ageing society, but he also believes that the easy gains from innovation have been made.
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