Meet John H. Welch

John H. Welch

John H. Welch is currently Executive Director at the Brazilian American Chamber of commerce. He is also the Farrell Family Liberty Fellow in Economics at the King’s College in New York. At chamber, Dr. Welch coordinates a team of six colleagues in creating content driven events, including webinars, seminars, and the Person of the Year awards dinner. Before coming to the Chamber, he was Managing and Chief Economist-LatAm and Brazil for HSBC. Dr. Welch held similar positions at CIBC, Macquarie Capital, Itaú-Unibanco’s International Wealth Management, Banco Itaú S.A, Bear Stearns. Lehman Brothers, West LB AG. Barclays Capital, and BNP Paribas. His primary responsibilities encompassed global sovereign and macroeconomic research with special emphasis on Latin American and Brazil. Before Wall Street, Dr. Welch served as senior economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and was an assistant professor at University of Texas, Austin, University of North Texas, and Oakland University. He has published extensively in professional journals and edited books in addition to his own book entitled: Capital Markets in the Development Process: The Case of Brazil (University of Pittsburgh Press, 1993). Dr. Welch earned his Ph.D. in economics at the University of Illinois and his AB in economics from Columbia University.

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Recent Articles

  1. Brazil – Spend, Tax, and Lend

    John H. Welch

    The new Lula administration finally outlined a new fiscal rule to replace the spending cap after months of negotiations and speculation.

  2. Welcome to Inflation III – Looks like Fiscal Dominance

    John H. Welch

    The monetary reaction to the failure of regional banks starting with SVB looks like that experienced in many Emerging Market countries, namely Brazil and Argentina.

  3. Welcome to Inflation II: How Late is the Fed?

    John H. Welch

    Rising inflation will persist through 2022, not fall suddenly midyear. The Fed is at least 11 months late on changing its quantitative...

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