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Meet Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is Chief US Economist at Macro Hive, specializing in US economics and monetary policy. She completed her Master’s and Ph.D. in Economics from the London School of Economics, and her first major position in finance was as an economist at the IMF. 

After that, Dominique continued to rack up experience, first as a-Singapore-based EM strategist, then  as Portfolio Strategist at Bridgewater Associates followed by a stint as Head of Research at a NYC-based startup macro hedge fund. 

Dominique’s expertise lies in macroeconomics and monetary policy, and she has a strong record of producing alpha-generating insights and successful calls in FX and rates. As someone who revels in ‘challenging the consensus,’ she is responsible for generating research that has practical implications for Macro Hive’s portfolio.

Before joining Macro Hive in November 2019, Dominique was a Senior Associate at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and then a Senior Macro Strategist at a LA-based macro hedge fund.

Dominique’s expertise is regularly called upon by numerous financial organizations, including Bloomberg and Real Vision

Twitter: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut (@firstkicktires) / Twitter

LinkedIn: (1) Dominique Dwor-Frecaut | LinkedIn

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Recent Articles

Inflation Monitor: Cost Pressures to Mount, Demand Pressures to Weaken

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

Summary March CPI was 20bp MoM lower than expected with large declines in used cars and core services ex housing pulling down the index. Trend inflation remains stable to upwards. Short-term Inflation expectations continue rising but long-term market-based expectations, which matter most to the Fed, remain stable. Cost pressures are about to increase with the […]

  1. Change Of Call: Fed to Cut 150bp Due to Recession

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    Summary A 2025 recession is likely due to the extraordinary increase in tariffs and policy uncertainty, with the pause in tariffs implementation likely to move the onset to Q2 from Q1. The recession is likely to last about three quarters with unemployment increasing by about 2.5ppts. I expect the Fed to cut as the recession […]

  2. Change of Call: One Fed Cut in 2025 as Tariffs to Hit Growth, Inflation

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    Summary NFPs were higher than expected though the trend remains unclear. Labour supply growth remained weak. Most measures indicate unchanged labour market utilization (i.e., full employment). Real wage growth had been accelerating but is about to slow due to tariffs-induced inflation acceleration. I am changing my Fed call to one 2025 cut due to the […]

  3. Trump’s Tariffs Shock

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut

    Summary Yesterday’s tariff announcement reduced policy uncertainty but was of such magnitude that it created new economic downside risk. The tariffs will lift inflation, though it is uncertain by how much and for how long. The tariffs will likely lead to a contraction in manufacturing output and employment, with an ambiguous impact on the trade […]

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