Benjamin Ford is a Researcher at Macro Hive. Benjamin studied BSc Financial Mathematics at Cardiff University and MSc Finance at Cass Business School, his dissertations were on the tails of GARCH volatility models, and foreign exchange investment strategies during crises, respectively. He has previously worked as a Summer Research Student at Cardiff University School of Mathematics where he designed the risk pricing model for their £600 million campus developments.
Politics & Geopolitics | US
Ben Ford, Bilal Hafeez
Summary Trump will be sworn in on 20 January at 12PM ET (5PM UKT). He is expected to deliver over 25 executive orders on his first day in office. This aligns with the new direction US presidents are taking to deliver early results. The first wave of orders is rumoured to focus on initial tariff […]
Ben Ford
Summary Having passed the federal government’s long-delayed amendments to the Reserve Bank Act back in November, Treasurer Chalmers has delivered the composition of the two new RBA boards. Two new members will join the Monetary Policy Board: Renée Fry-McKibbin and Marnie Baker. Four current board members will transition to the board. The new MPB will […]
Ben Ford
Summary The SNB cut the policy rate by 50bps, to 0.5%. That was their fourth cut of the cycle, but their first 50bp reduction since January 2015. Underlying inflation pressures are weakening with growth proving modest. The unemployment rate is grinding higher, too. In culmination, it led to a lower inflation forecast in the near-term. […]
Viresh Kanabar, Ben Ford
Summary Core and services inflation rose to 3.6% YoY and 5.6% in August. And while core now sits above BoE forecasts (3.4%), services inflation remains below. Meanwhile, wage growth is decelerating too slowly to force the BoE into a September rate cut. Assuming the BoE maintains a monthly pace of £100bn for balance sheet reduction, […]
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