By
Caroline Grady
January 08, 2021
In: Hive Exclusives |
Asia
COVID-19
Economics
EM
Equities
Monetary Policy & Inflation
UK
January 08, 2021
Summary Fresh COVID restrictions leave downside risks to the global recovery as mobility slows again. Asia’s dominance in global growth, an accommodative…
By
John Butler
December 22, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
China
COVID-19
EM
Markets and Investing
December 22, 2020
Supply issues pushing iron ore prices to fresh highs. Iron appears overextended vs other industrial commodities. Chinese steel producers have blamed speculators.…
By
Caroline Grady
December 18, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
US
December 18, 2020
Monetary Policy With most major DM central banks already wrapping up for the year the remaining policy meetings are in EM. Turkey…
By
Reuven Benichou
December 17, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
EM
Fiscal Policy & Inequality
FX
December 17, 2020
Summary Russia introduced a new fiscal rule in 2017 to preserve wealth across generations It implies FX interventions by the central bank…
By
Caroline Grady
December 11, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
US
December 11, 2020
Monetary Policy Wednesday’s Fed decision will be the highlight of the week, with forward guidance and a possible duration shift in focus.…
By
Caroline Grady
December 11, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Asia
EM
FX
Monetary Policy & Inflation
December 11, 2020
Summary Rupee looks set to end the year as Asia’s worst-performing currency This reflects RBI FX intervention with FX reserves up $xbn…
By
Tatiana Orlova
December 04, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
COVID-19
Economics
EM
December 04, 2020
Summary RUB is benefitting from the EM rally and the OPEC+ agreement to delay increases in oil output. But Russia is in…
By
Caroline Grady
December 04, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
US
December 04, 2020
Monetary Policy Thursday’s ECB meeting with take center stage with President Lagarde widely expected to announce additional asset purchases under PEPP. Brazil…
By
Caroline Grady
December 01, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
EM
Markets and Investing
December 01, 2020
Summary EM sentiment remains bullish following strong November performance and vaccine rollout optimism. That EMs have more goods-driven economies (versus service-oriented DM…
By
Caroline Grady
November 27, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
US
November 27, 2020
Monetary Policy Australia, Poland and India will all hold policy meetings over the coming week. None are expected to ease policy, although…
By
Caroline Grady
November 27, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
November 27, 2020
Summary Turkey’s 475bps rate hike and new economic management are much-needed policy shifts. They are not, however, enough to guarantee lira stability.…
By
Angela Xu
November 24, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
COVID-19
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
November 24, 2020
Following promising vaccine results, bullish sentiment over EM is building. To discuss this, we welcomed Dirk Willer, Managing Director and Global Head…
By
Bilal Hafeez
November 21, 2020
In: hive-podcasts |
EM
FX
November 21, 2020
In this show, I talk with Dr. Dirk Willer. He’s a Managing Director and Global Head of Emerging Markets FX and Fixed Income Strategy at…
By
Sam van de Schootbrugge
November 20, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
DM
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
November 20, 2020
Monetary Policy Next Thursday, we have policy rate announcements from the Riksbank and BoK. On speeches, Deputy Governor’s of the Bank of…
By
Reuven Benichou
November 20, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
EM
Fiscal Policy & Inequality
November 20, 2020
Summary Mexico’s trade balance has dramatically improved since 2017. The country has favoured fiscal and monetary stability over economic growth. Market Implications…
By
Sam van de Schootbrugge
November 13, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
DM
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
November 13, 2020
Monetary Policy Policy rates are due to be announced by the South African, Turkish, and Indonesian Central Banks this week. On speeches,…
By
Caroline Grady
November 06, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
US
November 06, 2020
Monetary Policy Last week’s flurry of monetary policy meetings leaves a fairly quiet week ahead. Several Fed, ECB and BoE speakers are…
By
Caroline Grady
October 30, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
US
October 30, 2020
Monetary Policy A very busy week for monetary policy with Fed and BoE policy meetings (both Thursday) plus the RBA (Tuesday). While…
By
Caroline Grady
October 16, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
EM
Markets and Investing
Monetary Policy & Inflation
October 16, 2020
Summary KRW is Asia’s best-performing currency since the start of September The recovery is slowing picking up and exports are rebounding Still-low…
By
Reuven Benichou
October 15, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
EM
Monetary Policy & Inflation
October 15, 2020
Summary High-tech boom a key factor of Israel’s BoP improvement. Israeli investors partially hedge the C/A recycling, supporting the shekel. FX intervention…
By
Caroline Grady
February 27, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
Growth & Labour Market
February 27, 2020
COVID-19 is significantly impacting Asian economies. But India’s relatively small manufacturing base and low integration into global supply chains…
By
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
February 20, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
EM
Growth & Labour Market
Sustainability & Social Issues
US
February 20, 2020
A global COVID-19 pandemic would further accelerate the post-financial crisis deglobalization. China’s long-term growth rate could be hit the hardest…
By
Harshal Babla
February 12, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
FX
Monetary Policy & Inflation
February 12, 2020
Banxico is expected to continue its easing cycle with another 25bps rate cut to 7.0% on Thursday. All but one of the 23 respondents in the latest…
By
Caroline Grady
February 07, 2020
In: Podcast Playlists |
EM
Equities
Growth & Labour Market
Investment Strategy
February 07, 2020
Principal Global Investors global strategist Seema Shah expects the main investment themes for 2020 to remain relevant despite the downside risks…
By
John Tierney
Harshal Babla
February 06, 2020
In: Hive Exclusives |
Economics
EM
Equities
Geopolitics
Monetary Policy & Inflation
UK
US
February 06, 2020
January was something of a bifurcated market. Equities generally tried to remain sanguine amid unsettling geopolitical developments, and US bond…
