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Economists are Bad at Predicting Recessions (FiveThirtyEight, 4 min read)

Bilal Hafeez | 29-08-2019

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Inverted Yield Curves and Expected Stock Returns (Fama and French Working Paper, 15 min read)

Bilal Hafeez | 23-08-2019

Trying put to rest the widespread concern that the recently inverted yield curve predicts a looming recession…

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Assessing house prices: Insights from a dataset of price level estimates (VoxEU, 5 min read)

Bilal Hafeez | 23-08-2019

Jean-Charles Bricongne (Deputy Director, Central Bank of France) and Alessandro Turrini (Head of Macroeconomics Surveillance, EU Commission) gauge…

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