Asia | China | Politics & Geopolitics | US
Last month’s decision by China to impose a new security law on Hong Kong has triggered a new stage in US-China tensions. The US is set to revoke Hong Kong’s special status (which in practice has limited economic impact) and rhetoric over further sanctions has significantly stepped up.
We try to list the main measures announced in recent weeks and months concentrating primarily on potential investment / financial restrictions as the trade war for now has moved away from tariff measures. We plan to update this regularly given threats and actual sanctions are likely to increase as the US Presidential draws near.
As well as the list of main measures we include charts on world trade uncertainty highlighting the huge spike through 2018-19 and subsequent easing back in Q1 2020 with the Phase 1 deal in place. We expect the Q2 update (data due out next month) will show trade uncertainty heading higher once again.
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- Last month’s decision by China to impose a new security law on Hong Kong has triggered a new stage in US-China tensions. The US is set to revoke Hong Kong’s special status (which in practice has limited economic impact) and rhetoric over further sanctions has significantly stepped up.
- We try to list the main measures announced in recent weeks and months concentrating primarily on potential investment / financial restrictions as the trade war for now has moved away from tariff measures. We plan to update this regularly given threats and actual sanctions are likely to increase as the US Presidential draws near.
- As well as the list of main measures we include charts on world trade uncertainty highlighting the huge spike through 2018-19 and subsequent easing back in Q1 2020 with the Phase 1 deal in place. We expect the Q2 update (data due out next month) will show trade uncertainty heading higher once again.
Felipe Espitia is a Research Analyst at Macro Hive. He is currently finishing an MSc in Finance and Investment at The University of Nottingham, and also has an MSc and BSc in Economics from Javeriana University in Colombia. His research interests are in Latin American economies, monetary policy, and financial stability analysis. Felipe has previous experience as a Macroeconomic Analyst in the sell and buy-side in Colombia.
(The commentary contained in the above article does not constitute an offer or a solicitation, or a recommendation to implement or liquidate an investment or to carry out any other transaction. It should not be used as a basis for any investment decision or other decision. Any investment decision should be based on appropriate professional advice specific to your needs.)