Bilal's Weekly Insightssee more…

  1. The UK Has a Pension Crisis Not a Fiscal Crisis

    Bilal Hafeez

    The first rule of crisis management is to know what crisis you are managing. Politicians and the media appear to be framing the recent...

  2. Can Inflation Be a Good Thing?

    Bilal Hafeez

    Despite the Fed’s campaign against it, US inflation stands at 8.3% and is forecast to moderate only slightly when September’s figures come out on Thursday.

  3. Don’t Get Caught by the Bounce 

    Bilal Hafeez

    We have seen a sharp bounce in stocks since the start of the month. US stocks are up almost 6%, with weak economic data easing some investors’ concerns about...

  1. Asset Allocation Update: The ‘Everything Breaks’ Portfolio

    Bilal Hafeez

    When markets go through regime changes, you need to throw out the conventional ways of investing. Take a common approach – business cycle investing.

  2. Asset Allocation Update: The ‘Everything Bubble’ Is Bursting

    Bilal Hafeez

    Rarely can we point to one factor driving the performance of all markets. But since the global financial crisis in 2008, that factor is low interest rates.

  3. Asset Allocation Update: Holding Steady Through Volatile Markets

    Bilal Hafeez

    June was a brutal month for markets. Thankfully, July came to the rescue. The S&P500 bounced 9.1% (the third-strongest July on record).

Asset Allocation Update: Cash Wins on Recession Shock

Bilal Hafeez

June was a brutal month for markets. Equities were down 9%, commodities fell 8%, corporate bonds fell between 3% and 7%, EM bonds dropped 5%...

Six Charts I Cannot Ignore

Bilal Hafeez

It is easy to get caught up in short-term market gyrations and miss the big picture. After all, the VIX is historically elevated, and markets are seeing major swings every few days.

  1. Asset Allocation Update: Watch the Fed

    Bilal Hafeez

    The biggest question in markets today is whether the Fed will be willing to crush inflation even it means weaker equity markets.

  2. What Was the UK Like When the Queen Was Crowned in 1952?

    Bilal Hafeez

    Queen Elizabeth Alexandra Mary Windsor is the longest reigning monarch in British history. She was crowned queen on 6 February 1952.

  3. Guess Who’s Joined the Double-Digit Inflation Club?

    Bilal Hafeez

    Which countries are experiencing serious inflation – not 3%, 5% or 8% but double-digit inflation?

Markets Have Entered the Multiverse of Madness

Bilal Hafeez

Movie fans will know that the new phase of the Marvel Cinematic Universe recently kicked off with Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness.

What China’s COVID Setbacks Mean For Markets

Bilal Hafeez

China was originally held up as the success story for managing COVID. But two years on, Shanghai is locked down and Beijing is testing all its residents for COVID.

  1. Asset Allocation Update: Recession Portfolio

    Bilal Hafeez

    Due to popular demand, we are producing a monthly update on our asset allocation views.

  2. Which Markets Perform During US Recessions?

    Bilal Hafeez

    US equities tend to underperform from around six months before a US recession onwards. Bonds tend to outperform from around...

  3. What Are the Best Investments Into Fed Hiking?

    Bilal Hafeez

    The first rule of investing is to survive. That means not getting your investments wiped out.

After Two Years, Which Countries Fared Worst During the COVID Pandemic?

Bilal Hafeez and Ben Ford

It has been two years since the World Health Organisation (WHO) declared COVID-19 a pandemic. And almost every country has tried to deploy...

Russia/Ukraine Update: 6 Things You Need to Know

Bilal Hafeez

As the Russia-Ukraine war continues, we outline six impacts and argue for a defensive posture to markets in this uncertain environment.

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